SMU_Alum11 wrote:In addition to the stuff I listed below, I thought this was interesting not only about our conference but our particular division. Credit to Stallion for record calling that we would be lucky to be 7-5. I'm actually quite shocked at how strong our division is given that UCF and USF are both in the East division. Now take it for what you will. The ACC is probably little understated given their bottoms are pretty bad, but still pretty interesting to see this on a top 12 divisions. The next best part is on average we are measurable distance away from the next G5.
Sagarin by conference by division:
1 BIG TEN-EAST - 84.53
2 PAC-12(NORTH) - 80.22
3 BIG 12 - 78.50
4 ACC-ATLANTIC - 78.38
5 PAC-12(SOUTH) - 75.33
6 ACC-COASTAL - 74.78
7 AAC WEST - 74.29
8 SEC-WEST - 72.60
9 BIG TEN-WEST - 71.32
10 SEC-EAST - 69.98
11 AAC EAST - 62.53
12 MWC-MOUNTAIN - 60.45
Source: https://www.usatoday.com/sports/ncaaf/sagarin/SMU_Alum11 wrote:We are talking about probabilities and not effort. Big difference. Neither I or Nacho are saying to the team, hey guys just go ahead and call off the game. No, but from a fan perspective and from our performance against Houston, yeah they're not winnable games with our defense and OL.
From a rankings/stat perspective (Sagarin),
#72 - SMU (68.32pts)
Rest of the schedule:
#100 - Cincy (60.60) - Should win this game but that's why we are saying it's a huge game (5-2)
#98 - Tulsa (61.56) - Must win game as well and fortunately at home (6-2)
#21 - UCF (82.10) - Hence why Nacho and I are penciling as a fan as a loss despite being at home (6-3)
#53 - Navy (73.34) - Again, it's going to be a huge task on the road. (6-4)
#50 - Memphis (73.85) - Same as above. (6-5)
#82 - Tulane (65.16) - Being at home, we might have a shot but I think their stock will continue to go up putting us even. (7-5)
For the sake of seeing where our wins came from:
Beaten
#217 - SFA (33.78) @ home
#107 - NTCC (59.81) @ home
#97 - Arkansas State (61.84) @ home
#141 - UCONN (51.59) @ home
This is why we are at the moment looking at 6-6 or 7-5 if we can handle Tulane. Houston
I think you copied that from a FIFY post on the AAC message board because that's not what the original source document says if you click through. I saw the same post too and figured out it was incorrect. Flip AACWest below SECEast-its still interesting our division is so close to a few P5 divisions
7 75.12 ( 
