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Bowl projections after week 14

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Re: Bowl projections after week 14

Postby DanFreibergerForHeisman » Thu Dec 05, 2019 3:27 pm

White Helmet wrote:It means that they are, at best, the 3rd best team in the conference. Many would probably look at records/results and count Cincinnati and potentially UCF as better as well. So the 4-5 best team in the AAC shouldn't get to whine they dont get "a shot at the big boys"...

Exactly.

Obviously we all love SMU and are enjoying our best season in over a generation, but there are a ton of non-P5 teams with great seasons this year:

Memphis (11-1)
Boise State (11-1)
App State (11-1)
Cincinnati (10-2)
SMU (10-2)
Navy (9-2 - could be 10-2)
Air Force (10-2)
Louisiana-Lafayette (10-2)

Plus Central Florida, four C-USA schools, and San Diego State all at 9-3.

They aren't all "going to get a shot at the big boys" no matter how great their seasons have been, which is why I still won't be a bit surprised if we end up in a bowl like Frisco playing a .500 MAC team.
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Re: Bowl projections after week 14

Postby CA Mustang » Thu Dec 05, 2019 3:29 pm

White Helmet wrote:
CA Mustang wrote:So the fact they lost to ranked teams on the road by one score means they aren't worthy?


It means that they are, at best, the 3rd best team in the conference. Many would probably look at records/results and count Cincinnati and potentially UCF as better as well. So the 4-5 best team in the AAC shouldn't get to whine they dont get "a shot at the big boys"...

No one is claiming they belong in the CFP/NY6. But 10-2 in the AAC doesn't equal 6-6 in CUSA/MAC.
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Re: Bowl projections after week 14

Postby WordUpBU » Thu Dec 05, 2019 3:30 pm

My hope for SMU is to get the Independence Vs an ACC team. It’s a name opponent, a likely win, and driveable.
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Re: Bowl projections after week 14

Postby SMU_Alum11 » Thu Dec 05, 2019 4:05 pm

DanFreibergerForHeisman wrote:
White Helmet wrote:It means that they are, at best, the 3rd best team in the conference. Many would probably look at records/results and count Cincinnati and potentially UCF as better as well. So the 4-5 best team in the AAC shouldn't get to whine they dont get "a shot at the big boys"...

Exactly.

Obviously we all love SMU and are enjoying our best season in over a generation, but there are a ton of non-P5 teams with great seasons this year:

Memphis (11-1)
Boise State (11-1)
App State (11-1)
Cincinnati (10-2)
SMU (10-2)
Navy (9-2 - could be 10-2)
Air Force (10-2)
Louisiana-Lafayette (10-2)

I can tell your right now if Boise doesn't thieve it's way to the cotton bowl then it will be in the Vegas bowl playing PAC12. Tell me how a crappy MWC team that lost to freak BYU gets a P5 opponent and we possibly get stuck with 6-6 Ohio...
Plus Central Florida, four C-USA schools, and San Diego State all at 9-3.

They aren't all "going to get a shot at the big boys" no matter how great their seasons have been, which is why I still won't be a bit surprised if we end up in a bowl like Frisco playing a .500 MAC team.
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Re: Bowl projections after week 14

Postby One Trick Pony » Thu Dec 05, 2019 4:14 pm

SMU_Alum11 wrote:
DanFreibergerForHeisman wrote:
White Helmet wrote:It means that they are, at best, the 3rd best team in the conference. Many would probably look at records/results and count Cincinnati and potentially UCF as better as well. So the 4-5 best team in the AAC shouldn't get to whine they dont get "a shot at the big boys"...

Exactly.

Obviously we all love SMU and are enjoying our best season in over a generation, but there are a ton of non-P5 teams with great seasons this year:

Memphis (11-1)
Boise State (11-1)
App State (11-1)
Cincinnati (10-2)
SMU (10-2)
Navy (9-2 - could be 10-2)
Air Force (10-2)
Louisiana-Lafayette (10-2)

I can tell your right now if Boise doesn't thieve it's way to the cotton bowl then it will be in the Vegas bowl playing PAC12. Tell me how a crappy MWC team that lost to freak BYU gets a P5 opponent and we possibly get stuck with 6-6 Ohio...
Plus Central Florida, four C-USA schools, and San Diego State all at 9-3.

They aren't all "going to get a shot at the big boys" no matter how great their seasons have been, which is why I still won't be a bit surprised if we end up in a bowl like Frisco playing a .500 MAC team.
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Re: Bowl projections after week 14

Postby White Helmet » Thu Dec 05, 2019 4:22 pm

SMU_Alum11 wrote:I can tell your right now if Boise doesn't thieve it's way to the cotton bowl then it will be in the Vegas bowl playing PAC12. Tell me how a crappy MWC team that lost to freak BYU gets a P5 opponent and we possibly get stuck with 6-6 Ohio...


It could be:
8-4, 12-1, 13-1, 11-1, 9-4, 13-0, 10-3, 12-1, 14-0, 12-1, 12-1, 11-2, 8-5, 12-2, 9-4, 10-3, 11-3, 10-3, 11-1
vs
3-9, 4-7, 3-9, 0-12, 3-8, 5-6, 6-6, 1-11, 1-11, 8-5, 7-7, 8-5, 7-6, 5-7, 1-11, 2-10, 5-7, 7-6, 5-7, 10-2
Records since Boise became division 1

or

34,273 31,126 33,068
vs
21,043 19,944, 19,383

Attendance averages for the last 3 years...
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Re: Bowl projections after week 14

Postby ponyboy » Thu Dec 05, 2019 4:30 pm

If you want to be Machiavellian about it, we don’t deserve any more than what bowl committees give us. But, yeah, I’d say a team that spent two thirds of the regular season ranked — and who is now one spot outside the Top 25 — who’s having an historically significant season after 30 years between hell and purgatory, who lost once each AT two currently ranked teams in highly competitive games deserves a little love when it comes time for bowl selection.
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Re: Bowl projections after week 14

Postby One Trick Pony » Thu Dec 05, 2019 4:33 pm

ponyboy wrote:If you want to be Machiavellian about it, we don’t deserve any more than what bowl committees give us. But, yeah, I’d say a team that spent two thirds of the regular season ranked — and who is now one spot outside the Top 25 — who’s having an historically significant season after 30 years between hell and purgatory, who lost once each AT two currently ranked teams in highly competitive games deserves a little love when it comes time for bowl selection.
Yeah but where will it be
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Re: Bowl projections after week 14

Postby DanFreibergerForHeisman » Thu Dec 05, 2019 4:34 pm

ponyboy wrote:If you want to be Machiavellian about it, we don’t deserve any more than what bowl committees give us. But, yeah, I’d say a team that spent two thirds of the regular season ranked — and who is now one spot outside the Top 25 — who’s having an historically significant season after 30 years between hell and purgatory, who lost once each AT two currently ranked teams in highly competitive games deserves a little love when it comes time for bowl selection.

I wish!
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Re: Bowl projections after week 14

Postby EastStang » Thu Dec 05, 2019 5:25 pm

Remember the SMU mantra. If the powers that be in the NCAA have the power to screw us, they will. So, let's make lemonade out of lemons. If we play Florida Atlantic or Ohio, let's have a 50 point half time lead so ESPN sees tv's clicking off.
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Re: Bowl projections after week 14

Postby mustangxc » Thu Dec 05, 2019 5:27 pm

WordUpBU wrote:My hope for SMU is to get the Independence Vs an ACC team. It’s a name opponent, a likely win, and driveable.


I'm hoping for the Texas Bowl as it is a bigger bowl with a better payout but Independence Bowl is a close second. It pays better than all the smaller bowls, is drivable for most SMU fans, and has the cheapest tickets I've seen for any bowl game.
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Re: Bowl projections after week 14

Postby CA Mustang » Thu Dec 05, 2019 6:02 pm

White Helmet wrote:
SMU_Alum11 wrote:I can tell your right now if Boise doesn't thieve it's way to the cotton bowl then it will be in the Vegas bowl playing PAC12. Tell me how a crappy MWC team that lost to freak BYU gets a P5 opponent and we possibly get stuck with 6-6 Ohio...


It could be:
8-4, 12-1, 13-1, 11-1, 9-4, 13-0, 10-3, 12-1, 14-0, 12-1, 12-1, 11-2, 8-5, 12-2, 9-4, 10-3, 11-3, 10-3, 11-1
vs
3-9, 4-7, 3-9, 0-12, 3-8, 5-6, 6-6, 1-11, 1-11, 8-5, 7-7, 8-5, 7-6, 5-7, 1-11, 2-10, 5-7, 7-6, 5-7, 10-2
Records since Boise became division 1

or

34,273 31,126 33,068
vs
21,043 19,944, 19,383

Attendance averages for the last 3 years...

It's not that, it the bowl agreement they signed. In some ways, the MW gets the shaft as their 12-1/11-2 conference champion gets to face a 6-6 Pac-12 team unhappy with their season.
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Re: Bowl projections after week 14

Postby Charleston Pony » Thu Dec 05, 2019 6:09 pm

I do think we will be the 5th best option the AAC has to offer (better than Temple and Tulane, but behind the rest of our bowl eligible teams). I think Tulane goes to Frisco and SMU ends up in one of the Florida games, but I agree with others that it would be nice to get either the Texas Bowl or Shreveport. From a "rewarding the players, coaches and staff" standpoint, Hawaii would probably top their list.
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Re: Bowl projections after week 14

Postby Dukie » Thu Dec 05, 2019 6:20 pm

Charleston Pony wrote:I do think we will be the 5th best option the AAC has to offer (better than Temple and Tulane, but behind the rest of our bowl eligible teams). I think Tulane goes to Frisco and SMU ends up in one of the Florida games, but I agree with others that it would be nice to get either the Texas Bowl or Shreveport. From a "rewarding the players, coaches and staff" standpoint, Hawaii would probably top their list.

SMU will fill Shreveport in a way that no other AAC option will (including Tulane).

Our AD and our President and Aresco and anyone else at SMU with relationships that matter had better be making this point, strongly.
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Re: Bowl projections after week 14

Postby mr. pony » Thu Dec 05, 2019 7:12 pm

Charleston Pony wrote:I do think we will be the 5th best option the AAC has to offer (better than Temple and Tulane, but behind the rest of our bowl eligible teams). I think Tulane goes to Frisco and SMU ends up in one of the Florida games, but I agree with others that it would be nice to get either the Texas Bowl or Shreveport. From a "rewarding the players, coaches and staff" standpoint, Hawaii would probably top their list.


Hey - June could be honorary host!
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