Re: Thoughts on the 2020 season?
Posted: Tue Apr 07, 2020 1:23 pm
Dukie wrote:JasonB wrote:First, no vaccine is going to be rushed to market. There are too many negative repercussions if something isn't right, and it goes beyond mild side effects if treatment drugs don't work. I don't expect to see a vaccine available for public use for another year, minimum.
Second, testing and treatment will have improved significantly by the fall. At that time, what you are going to see is significant testing so that regional outbreaks can be detected, and then immediate social distancing, events cancelled, and travel in and out of that area banned so that they shut the spread to the rest of the country. The economy will move on and events will happen in areas that don't see a flare up.
IF we have improved treatment through a variety of drugs, it could mitigate the risk of developing severe symptoms enough that you don't even have the regional restriction. But that will only happen if available drugs happen to work, which is a hope, but certainly not a sure thing.
If the country is testing appropriately, and the situation is addressed appropriately, there is no reason to cancel events in the fall. That said, I'm not super confident that the current administration will have the appetite to attack this at a national level rather than leaving it up to localities. Without some sort of national control, all bet are off for the fall sports seasons.
I think this is all generally right, and one more reason for hope is that plasma from those who have survived coronavirus is proving helpful to those who are suffering:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/ ... l-patients
But the Gates Foundation has historically been involved in plasma-treatment plans for other diseases (Ebola), so I certainly hope footballdad and One Trick Pony will maintain their purity and decline any such treatment.
Hydroxychloroquine. Safe, effective, and saving lives every day......but orange man bad. Doesn't fit the Gates & Fauci narrative either, so we need months long 'trials' to confirm.