Re: Daily Campus: SMU Players Voice Concerns Over Return Pla
Posted: Mon Jun 22, 2020 8:52 am
Ponyexpress70 wrote:JasonB
Can you please tell us what data in the links below justifies you reinforcing the baseless fears of these football players?
0 confirmed deaths under the age of 20 In the entire state (11 confirmed deaths under the age of 30 in the entire state).
~45% of reported deaths in the state are in nursing homes and assisted living facilities (976/2,165)
72% of confirmed deaths are over the age of 65 (only 12% of cases)
Th mortality rate in NH/ALFs is 14.8% (976 deaths / 6,608 cases)
The mortality rate if you live outside a NH/ALF is 1.2% (1,189/101,127)
If you remove the disproportionate impact of NH/ALFs from the numbers, cv19 comes in tied for the 8th leading cause of death in Texas at 15.4 deaths/100,000 just in front of septicemia and the flu which come in at 12 deaths/100,000. In other words, a .015% chance of dying from cv19 outside a NH/ALF vs. a .012% chance of dying from septicemia or the flu. As a point of comparison, 100% of people who eat carrots...die (eventually).
If you live outside a NH or ALF, you’re almost as likely to die in a car accident In Texas as you are from CV19 (~10 traffic fatalities/day vs ~12 cv19 deaths/day). Maybe we should ban the wheel. I guess it’s a good thing the players live on campus and don’t have to drive to practices/games.
I realize this board is meant to be apolitical, but relevant facts are always important when it comes to protecting the sanctity of football in Texas. This board should not be used to knowingly or unknowingly pass along misinformation that reinforces baseless fears. Football and sports are meant to be an escape from the insanity of the real world. Let’s not let those outlets become infected by political agendas that seek to tear down and destroy.
As long as Sonny isn’t looking to round out his roster from the Texas Nursing Home Transfer Portal, I think the players will be fine (at least, that’s what the data tells us).
Time to put on our big boy pants, Pony Up and play some football!!!
P.S. Ponyboy - the statistic is that Medicare pays hospitals $13,000/cv patient and $39,000 for cv patients that go on ventilators. Part of the CARES act. The controversy is about whether or not hospitals are inflating their case counts to get money - no verified examples of that happening.
http://ftp.dot.state.tx.us/pub/txdot-in ... 2018/a.pdf
https://dshs.texas.gov/coronavirus/COVI ... ities.aspx
https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/ops ... b9cafc8b83
https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/ops ... b9cafc8b83
https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/ops ... b9cafc8b83
Based on percentages, 1-2 players on the team would be hospitalized from the virus (around 1% of cases). Coaches would be at a 10-15% rate, so again you are looking at 1 hospitalization.
Now, take the bigger picture. We are telling some of these players the awesome opportunity they have to play at home, in Dallas. But now they are going to be in a situation where they can't go see the family that they wanted to play in front of? Because I guarantee you that several have parents with underlying health conditions, or live with grandparents. What about if they decide to go to class? Infect a professor? Is that okay?
I don't think anyone here is trying to overstate the possible impacts. Nobody is stating that kids are going to die, because the odds indicate that is most likely not going to happen. It is their overarching ecosystem that we have to be mindful of.
Again, people are going to make individual decisions. But I don't think it is right to dismiss the risks like they don't really exist.