https://www.underdogdynasty.com/2023/11 ... e-americanScenario 1:
UTSA (9-3, 8-0 AAC) defeats Tulane (10-2, 7-1 AAC)
Navy defeats SMU (9-3, 7-1 AAC)
This is the least likely scenario according to the oddsmakers as the Roadrunners and Midshipmen are road underdogs heading into the final week of the season. In this scenario, UTSA is the guaranteed host of the AAC Championship Game. The visitor is likely Tulane which edges SMU via the computerized ranking tiebreaker, as both teams should be unranked with losses Saturday.
Likely result: Tulane @ UTSA
Scenario 2:
UTSA (9-3, 8-0 AAC) defeats Tulane (10-2, 7-1 AAC)
SMU (10-2, 8-0 AAC) defeats Navy
In this scenario, both Texas teams finish 8-0 in the AAC standings and the matchup is clearly UTSA vs. SMU. But which team gets hosting duties? If neither are ranked in the CFP standings Tuesday, the computerized rankings tiebreaker will apply. All signs point to the Mustangs claiming the tiebreaker, unless the Roadrunners’ road win at Tulane is enough to move the needle by a substantial margin. In all likelihood, this is the only path for SMU to claim host duties.
Likely result: UTSA @ SMU