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Tulane opens as -4 favorites

PostPosted: Sat Nov 25, 2023 8:58 pm
by Flipper
Sounds about right. Will be interesting to see how the line moves next week. -3 is a given on the road so I like the respect early. Should also land in the top 25 to boost ratings a bit. Let’s go Mustangs!

Re: Tulane opens as -4 favorites

PostPosted: Sat Nov 25, 2023 9:15 pm
by mtrout
You think we’ll be ranked? Who are we passing?

Re: Tulane opens as -4 favorites

PostPosted: Sat Nov 25, 2023 9:33 pm
by highlander
mtrout wrote:You think we’ll be ranked? Who are we passing?


I don't know. But I DO know that we went up and down the field on a team that everyone else had a lot more trouble scoring on. And Navy could not move the ball when it mattered. Can that be worth something, for a change???

Re: Tulane opens as -4 favorites

PostPosted: Sat Nov 25, 2023 11:09 pm
by mtrout
We may pass Oregon St and Kansas State so #25 AP makes sense but I’m not holding my breath. We should pass Utah and NC State will be ranked ahead of us.

Re: Tulane opens as -4 favorites

PostPosted: Sat Nov 25, 2023 11:26 pm
by CA Mustang
mtrout wrote:You think we’ll be ranked? Who are we passing?

Both Kansas State and Oregon State lost this weekend.

Re: Tulane opens as -4 favorites

PostPosted: Sun Nov 26, 2023 9:59 am
by highlander
College football is the only major sport, at any level, where the previous season matters in terms of ability to compete for the championship. If Tulane had not been ranked LAST YEAR, we would be ahead of Tulane in the CFP rankings and the championship game would be at Ford Stadium.

Re: Tulane opens as -4 favorites

PostPosted: Sun Nov 26, 2023 11:37 am
by SMUstang07
What? Tulane only has 1 loss (and to a team ranked highly without their starting QB). We have two losses. No reason to think Tulane is only ahead of us because of last year.

Re: Tulane opens as -4 favorites

PostPosted: Sun Nov 26, 2023 11:43 am
by highlander
SMUstang07 wrote:What? Tulane only has 1 loss (and to a team ranked highly without their starting QB). We have two losses. No reason to think Tulane is only ahead of us because of last year.


"A loss is a loss". Except in college football. Compare Tulane and SMU vs common opponents.

Regardless, we'll find out the truth in 6 days.

Re: Tulane opens as -4 favorites

PostPosted: Sun Nov 26, 2023 1:12 pm
by mtrout
We moved from 25 to 24 in the coaches poll

Re: Tulane opens as -4 favorites

PostPosted: Mon Nov 27, 2023 9:33 am
by SmooBoy
Wondering if we would have been favored on the road if Stone is healthy.

Re: Tulane opens as -4 favorites

PostPosted: Mon Nov 27, 2023 9:51 am
by shadowman
I bet it would have been a toss up if Stone had not got hurt.

As a point of reference, the ESPN Analytics gives SMU a whopping 72.5% chance to win the game. I assume this does not take into account key injuries and only compares the data of both team's previous games and opponents.

Obviously, our chances of winning go down with Stone out, but I still rate it at 50/50.

Re: Tulane opens as -4 favorites

PostPosted: Mon Nov 27, 2023 2:30 pm
by PonyTales
It basically is a tossup, since most lines give 3 points for playing at home.

Re: Tulane opens as -4 favorites

PostPosted: Mon Nov 27, 2023 7:41 pm
by Mustangs_Maroons
that line opened up without certainty on Stone. I think the line is 5.5 now. I get it, Tulane won the conference championship last year, undefeated in conference play this year, at their stadium, and we will be playing with our backup QB. I still think we have the better team, but concerned with how we have played away from home this season. I think we were better than tcu and we played our worst game of the year then.

I do think we're trending up and have been playing our best football. Statistically, SMU is the better team during the season. We'll have to play with the right mindset because we have on paper, IMO, the better team.