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Re: 2014-2015 SMU Daily Rankings

Postby The PonyGrad » Tue Dec 09, 2014 12:28 pm

So NJIT was the classic trap game? Since they may have been looking past them to UA?
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Re: 2014-2015 SMU Daily Rankings

Postby Harry0569 » Wed Dec 10, 2014 11:03 am

12/9/2014

Daily:
Kenpom: #43 (+1)
BPI: TBD
RPI: NR (-4)
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Re: 2014-2015 SMU Daily Rankings

Postby MFFL02 » Wed Dec 10, 2014 12:37 pm

Can you please include the Sagarin rating moving forward?
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Re: 2014-2015 SMU Daily Rankings

Postby ECMustang » Wed Dec 10, 2014 12:57 pm

Through 12/9/2014 Games

KenPom: 43
Sagarin: 48
SonnyMoore: 38


Not to step on your toes, Harry.

I like Sagarin was well, but I would also recommend Sonny Moore rankings.

On Sonny Moore Rankings: "The ratings are compiled by using only statistical and historical data. The most recent games played are more meaningful in compiling the ratings. Only games played against the teams in the ratings are used to formulate the power ratings. A diminishing returns principle is used to prevent higher rated teams from gaining power rating points and moving up in the rankings when the victory margin is being run up against a weaker team. Beginning 2000, a team's power rating value will be displayed atleast two decimal places instead of rounding off to whole numbers, so as to give a more precise and greater distinction in the ratings by reducing identical values amoung the teams. This will in turn give a more accurate ranking within each sport."

Sonny Moore's Rankings, according Massey Ratings, have a predictive wins % (higher ranked team beating a lower ranked team that has occured since the ratings games out) of 66.4%, with the highest score of 68%. Moore consistently ranks near the top every year.


I use all three of these guys in my analysis, granted I am more focused on ATS outcomes.
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Re: 2014-2015 SMU Daily Rankings

Postby fifty » Wed Dec 10, 2014 12:58 pm

Can we get the secret rankings that the comittee uses?
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Re: 2014-2015 SMU Daily Rankings

Postby Harry0569 » Wed Dec 10, 2014 1:24 pm

EC - not stepping on my toes at all.

Definitely like the addition of Sagarin. I will include it going forward.
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Re: 2014-2015 SMU Daily Rankings

Postby Harry0569 » Thu Dec 11, 2014 9:04 am

12/11/2014

Daily:
Kenpom: #43 (**)
BPI: TBD
RPI: NR (**)
Sagarin: 48 (**)
SonnyMoore: 38 (**)
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Re: 2014-2015 SMU Daily Rankings

Postby Chnash318 » Thu Dec 11, 2014 11:22 am

Harry0569 wrote:12/11/2014

Daily:
Kenpom: #43 (**)
BPI: TBD
RPI: NR (**)
Sagarin: 48 (**)
SonnyMoore: 38 (**)


This site has a live-rpi that is good to look at, just so you don't have to put NR

http://www.rpiforecast.com/live-rpi.html
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Re: 2014-2015 SMU Daily Rankings

Postby The PonyGrad » Fri Dec 12, 2014 10:44 am

Chnash318 wrote:
Harry0569 wrote:12/11/2014

Daily:
Kenpom: #43 (**)
BPI: TBD
RPI: NR (**)
Sagarin: 48 (**)
SonnyMoore: 38 (**)


This site has a live-rpi that is good to look at, just so you don't have to put NR

http://www.rpiforecast.com/live-rpi.html

ESPN has one too.
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Re: 2014-2015 SMU Daily Rankings

Postby ojaipony » Fri Dec 12, 2014 12:53 pm

RPI down to 63 from 57 yesterday. Ouch.
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Re: 2014-2015 SMU Daily Rankings

Postby SC Pony » Fri Dec 12, 2014 1:46 pm

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Re: 2014-2015 SMU Daily Rankings

Postby Harry0569 » Fri Dec 12, 2014 2:34 pm

12/12/2014

Daily:
Kenpom: #44 (-1)
BPI: TBD
RPI: 62 (Honk)
Sagarin: 54 (-6)
SonnyMoore: 39 (-1)
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Re: 2014-2015 SMU Daily Rankings

Postby White Helmet » Fri Dec 12, 2014 2:36 pm

fifty wrote:Can we get the secret rankings that the comittee uses?


Secret ranking =RPI+25 SMU penalty
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Re: 2014-2015 SMU Daily Rankings

Postby The PonyGrad » Fri Dec 12, 2014 3:25 pm

UCSB lost at home.
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Re: 2014-2015 SMU Daily Rankings

Postby The PonyGrad » Fri Dec 12, 2014 3:26 pm

Now, after Mich. lost back to back we had better beat them.
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