Our NIT case...
Posted: Fri Mar 14, 2003 8:30 pmThought I would start a thread so everyone can give opinions about our NIT chances...
Obviously, a loss to Nevada and we are out of consideration.
I am also assuming that the Owl's loss to Hawaii knocks them out, and if we beat Nevada, we move ahead of them in terms of an NIT look.
Assumming Tulsa wins the conference championship, it is between us and Hawaii for an NIT bid, if one is given to the WAC this year (one would assume that there would be someone invited though).
SMU
Record: 17-12
RPI: 0.5238 - 116
Good wins (RPI over 100): 6
--------------------
Baylor
Record: 14-14
RPI: 0.5317 - 98
San Diego
Record: 17-11
RPI: 0.5361 - 93
Rice
Record: 17-10
RPI: 0.5388 - 89
Rice
Record: 17-10
RPI: 0.5388 - 89
Tulsa
Record: 20-9
RPI: 0.5553 - 69
Hawaii
Record: 18-10
RPI: 0.5396 - 87
Bad Losses: 4
----------------------
Oral Roberts
Record: 17-10
RPI: 0.4919 - 174
Appilachan state
Record: 16-10
RPI: 0.4989 - 160
LA Tech
Record: 10-15
RPI: 0.4943 - 168
Boise State
Record: 12-16
RPI: 0.4869 - 183
-------------------------------------------
Hawaii
Record: 18-10
RPI: 0.5396 - 87
Good wins: 6
-------------------------
Butler
Record: 24-5
RPI: 0.5896 - 35
Fresno State
Record: 20-8
RPI: 0.5547 - 71
Kent State
Record: 19-8
RPI: 0.5435 - 82
Rice
Record: 17-10
RPI: 0.5388 - 89
Rice
Record: 17-10
RPI: 0.5388 - 89
Tulsa
Record: 20-9
RPI: 0.5553 - 69
Bad Losses: 4
--------------------------
Boise State
Record: 12-16
RPI: 0.4869 - 183
San Jose State
Record: 5-21
RPI: 0.4207 - 285
La Tech
Record: 10-15
RPI: 0.4943 - 168
San Jose State
Record: 5-21
RPI: 0.4207 - 285
So, both teams have 6 "quality" wins, and 4 horrible losses. Hawaii has better quality wins, but the two losses against SJS are much worse than anything SMU has done.
Even though Hawaii has a better RPI, the teams aren't that different when you look at them. In fact, if I was to go out on a limb, I would argue that since 1) SMU will have lower travelling costs and 2) SMU has actually done a better job on the road, SMU may have the edge on Hawaii for the NIT.
Obviously, a loss to Nevada and we are out of consideration.
I am also assuming that the Owl's loss to Hawaii knocks them out, and if we beat Nevada, we move ahead of them in terms of an NIT look.
Assumming Tulsa wins the conference championship, it is between us and Hawaii for an NIT bid, if one is given to the WAC this year (one would assume that there would be someone invited though).
SMU
Record: 17-12
RPI: 0.5238 - 116
Good wins (RPI over 100): 6
--------------------
Baylor
Record: 14-14
RPI: 0.5317 - 98
San Diego
Record: 17-11
RPI: 0.5361 - 93
Rice
Record: 17-10
RPI: 0.5388 - 89
Rice
Record: 17-10
RPI: 0.5388 - 89
Tulsa
Record: 20-9
RPI: 0.5553 - 69
Hawaii
Record: 18-10
RPI: 0.5396 - 87
Bad Losses: 4
----------------------
Oral Roberts
Record: 17-10
RPI: 0.4919 - 174
Appilachan state
Record: 16-10
RPI: 0.4989 - 160
LA Tech
Record: 10-15
RPI: 0.4943 - 168
Boise State
Record: 12-16
RPI: 0.4869 - 183
-------------------------------------------
Hawaii
Record: 18-10
RPI: 0.5396 - 87
Good wins: 6
-------------------------
Butler
Record: 24-5
RPI: 0.5896 - 35
Fresno State
Record: 20-8
RPI: 0.5547 - 71
Kent State
Record: 19-8
RPI: 0.5435 - 82
Rice
Record: 17-10
RPI: 0.5388 - 89
Rice
Record: 17-10
RPI: 0.5388 - 89
Tulsa
Record: 20-9
RPI: 0.5553 - 69
Bad Losses: 4
--------------------------
Boise State
Record: 12-16
RPI: 0.4869 - 183
San Jose State
Record: 5-21
RPI: 0.4207 - 285
La Tech
Record: 10-15
RPI: 0.4943 - 168
San Jose State
Record: 5-21
RPI: 0.4207 - 285
So, both teams have 6 "quality" wins, and 4 horrible losses. Hawaii has better quality wins, but the two losses against SJS are much worse than anything SMU has done.
Even though Hawaii has a better RPI, the teams aren't that different when you look at them. In fact, if I was to go out on a limb, I would argue that since 1) SMU will have lower travelling costs and 2) SMU has actually done a better job on the road, SMU may have the edge on Hawaii for the NIT.