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Does a short bench hurt your team’s NCAA Tournament chances?

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Does a short bench hurt your team’s NCAA Tournament chances?

Postby Harry0569 » Fri Feb 24, 2017 10:30 am

http://fansided.com/2017/02/24/short-be ... t-chances/

Very relevant for us.

"Teams with bench minutes 25 percent and below, with an average seed of 8.3, have won between 22 and 24 more games than they’d be expected to. This is consistent whether we’re controlling for expected wins by seed or log5 simulations."

"When it comes down to single-elimination games, who wins is most often about who’s putting the best players on the floor. Many coaches cut their postseason rotations down to 8 or less even if they have other options available. Much like the NBA postseason, depth and benches matter less; it’s your best vs. their best. Teams that earned high seeds with short rotations will likely have better top end players than teams with deeper rotations, almost by necessity.

"But mainly, I’d conclude that fans of teams with short benches — like Villanova, Kansas, Baylor, Notre Dame, and UCLA — shouldn’t worry that their teams can’t win with just 6 or 7 players. History shows they can do well in the tournament – and often do."
______________________________________________________________________
Per Ken Pom
– Bench minutes are computed by assuming that the starters are the five players that have played the most minutes on the season. The minutes of remaining players are all assumed to be bench minutes. Players that have played less than 10% of their team’s minutes are not included.

SMU is 349/351 is terms of % Bench Minutes (19%); NCAA average is 32%
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Re: Does a short bench hurt your team’s NCAA Tournament chan

Postby mrydel » Fri Feb 24, 2017 10:46 am

Who are the 2 with less bench minutes?
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Re: Does a short bench hurt your team’s NCAA Tournament chan

Postby Harry0569 » Fri Feb 24, 2017 10:53 am

mrydel wrote:Who are the 2 with less bench minutes?


Nevada & Arizona State
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Re: Does a short bench hurt your team’s NCAA Tournament chan

Postby JoeKidd » Fri Feb 24, 2017 1:03 pm

Wow, amazed anyone has less bench minutes than us. Although with Gu we have a nice 6 man rotation. If we only had 1 more big body to eat up some fouls against teams with good back-courts.
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Re: Does a short bench hurt your team’s NCAA Tournament chan

Postby PonyFan32 » Fri Feb 24, 2017 1:58 pm

Harry0569 wrote:
mrydel wrote:Who are the 2 with less bench minutes?


Nevada & Arizona State


ASU not surprising. Someone posted recently that no one had played other than the starters in a recent game with 14 minutes left to go in the game.
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Re: Does a short bench hurt your team’s NCAA Tournament chan

Postby smusic 00 » Fri Feb 24, 2017 2:05 pm

We played an entire half without a substitution at UCF.
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Re: Does a short bench hurt your team’s NCAA Tournament chan

Postby LA_Mustang » Fri Feb 24, 2017 3:44 pm

Sundevils are able to play more minutes than most. I'm a Sundevil, man!!

And smusic, having two schools in the bottom three has to be a record, or something.
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