OFFICIAL GAME 22 THREAD: SMU vs. UCF

[Harry0569]

Who: #23 SMU (17-4) (7-1 in AAC) vs. #69 UCF (14-5) (5-2 in AAC)
When: Wednesday, January 25 @ 6P est / 5P cst [sooooo early]
Where: CFE Arena
TV: ESPN News
RADIO: KAAM 770 AM

Per KenPom:
SMU is projected to win 63-60 (62% Win Probability)

When SMU has the ball:
SMU Off: Scoring 116.9 pts. / 100 possessions (#23)
UCF Def: Giving up 92.0 pts. / 100 possessions (#13)

Key stats:
SMU is grabbing 40.7% of all available offensive rebounds (#3) WE ARE MONSTERS; UCF is allowing opponents to rebound 23.2% of its misses (#9) THEY ARE MONSTERS
SMU is shooting 40.2% from 3 (#10); UCF is allowing opponents to shoot 28.9% from 3 (#5)
SMU is shooting 50.1% from 2 (#134); UCF is allowing opponents to shoot 38.3% from 2 (#1)
SMU is shooting 68.0% from FT Line (#229)


When UCF has the Ball
UCF Off: Scoring 102.1 pts. / 100 possessions (#204)
SMU Def: Giving up 95.5 pts. / 100 possessions (#41)

Key Stats:
UCF is shooting 33.4% from downtown (#231); SMU allowing opponents to shoot 32.9% from 3 (#91)
UCF is shooting 51.2% from 2 (#97); SMU allows opponents to shoot 44.0% from 2 (#38)
UCF is shooting 67.3% from FT Line (#255)
AVERT YOUR EYES, UCF turns it over on 22.7% of its possessions (#339)

UCF’s Best Wins:
Vs. Mississippi State (#93) on November 17
Vs. UH (#51) on January 14

[PonyTime]

It's Tako Tuesday, but on a Wednesday!

It's too bad we don't get a H and H with UCF this year. Loved watching the Tako show last year. Will be really interesting to see how we do on the boards and how Semi uses his leverage to defend Tako. Seems that this is the type of matchup where you would want to have fouls to give - and our shallow bench does not allow that.

[SMUstangs22]

Wonder if we see Leo hack a tacko

[skyscraper]

I would call this a trap game, but it's our only one this week. I would expect us to show up and be ready for it.

[Terry Webster]

For those in the know, who will Fall guard? With our spread offense and 5 wings, whoever he is guarding should be able to sit out at 15 feet and shoot jumpers all day.

[mrydel]

I have not seen Fall guard anyone. He just guards the basket.

[PonyLawExpress]

For those in the know, who will Fall guard? With our spread offense and 5 wings, whoever he is guarding should be able to sit out at 15 feet and shoot jumpers all day.

Mrydel is right he doesn't really guard anyone, but I'm sure he will be "assigned" to Ben Moore, since Moore doesn't have 3 point range.

[SMUstangs22]

15-18 ft jumpers for Ben all day. When he comes out, blaze right past him

[PonyTime]

Dude is tallllll

[Mustangs35SMU]

Mustangs lead series 8-6.
At SMU: 6-1 SMU
At UCF: 4-2 UCF
Neutral: 1-0 UCF
C-USA Play: 5-3 UCF
C-USA Tournament: 1-0 UCF
AAC Play: 5-0 SMU

First Meeting: February 18th, 2006 - at SMU - W 77-55
Last Meeting: January 10th, 2016 - at SMU - W 88-73

[SMUstangs22]

More concerning are their defensive stats not around Tacko. Their oppenent 3pt % has me concerned

[ojaipony]

Our hardest road aac game outside of at Cincy. Huge game. Win here and we are in a good spot.

[LA_Mustang]

Call me crazy, but I think UConn and Temple will be tougher road games than UCF.

[PonyLawExpress]

Call me crazy, but I think UConn and Temple will be tougher road games than UCF.

Depends if Jarrey is available in my mind. If so and he is actually healthy I think we should win unless Taylor and Williams are on fire.

I could see us potentially losing Wednesday, don't think we should but could see it. I have trouble seeing us losing to UConn with how bad they are and a week off before we play them or Temple with how bad they have played in conference without us just playing awful like early season at Boise before we gelled bad. Those are two traditionally tough venues though. @UH should be tough since they get a week off before they play us next.

I agree with Ojay win at UCF & we are half way through conference (likely the tougher half of our conference schedule @Cincy @UCF and @Memphis) & come out 8-1 would be awesome.

[lollaperuna]

History says we should be worried about @Temple and @Houston and I think those are the biggest obstacles. Maybe UCF should worry me but they don't.