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OT - UH swapping out a FCS school?

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Re: OT - UH swapping out a FCS school?

Postby NTXCoog » Fri May 23, 2014 6:32 pm

Big12Mustang wrote:
NTXCoog wrote:
ojaipony wrote:Houston's FB schedule is a joke just like their school. They proved they were better than us last year by whipping our sorry asses, but if we had their schedule we would have won 7+ games as sorry as we were/are.


7+? Let's look at the UH schedule.

On both schedules last year
Rutgers- UH win SMU loss
Memphis - Both won
Temple - Both won
USF - Both won
UCF - both lost
Cinci - both lost

So that puts you at 3-3

Then get rid of the gimmes.
Southern? Win
BYU? Loss
Louisville? Loss
You can't play SMU so we'll sub UH which was a loss.

That puts you at 4-6 which kills your 7+ wins theory.

Then there's Rice and UTSA. Teams in a bad CUSA. Rice was the champ, had a 10 win season, and played both UH and aTm closer than SMU did. UTSA goes 7-5, but plays UH pretty close until a 4th quarter turnover fest turns it into a blowout. I'd say they would have been competitive against SMU at a minimum. SMU could win against both teams, but they could just as easily lose to both. So I'll split it as 1 win and 1 loss.

And that makes the record against UH's schedule the same as SMU had last year at 5-7. Maybe fewer blowouts. Maybe if everything goes your way 7-5. But definitely not 8 wins like UH had.


We lost to Rutgers by 3 points, lost to Cincy by 3 and lost to UCF by 4. Those games could have been won and I wouldn't immediately chalk up BYU as a loss.


But SMU also won 2 games by less than 1 score. Only 1 of UH's wins was that close and Rice needed a blocked FG return with 2 minutes left to get that close.

And by your logic, UH lost to BYU by 1 point (with BYU not taking the final lead until 1 minute left in the game), UCF by 5 points (with 4 UH plays inside UCF's 20 to end the game), Louisville by 7 points, and Cinci by 7 points. Every regular season loss was by 1 score or less. So UH could have as easily been 12-0 as SMU winning three more games last season.
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Re: OT - UH swapping out a FCS school?

Postby sbsmith » Fri May 23, 2014 9:30 pm

ojaipony wrote:Houston's FB schedule is a joke just like their school. They proved they were better than us last year by whipping our sorry asses, but if we had their schedule we would have won 7+ games as sorry as we were/are.



Their schedule might have been weaker but that doesn't necessarily mean we'd have won more games with it. Honestly I think we'd have won fewer.


1. Southern-Win
2. Temple-Win
3. Rice-Loss
4. UTSA-Loss
5. Memphis-Win
6. BYU-Loss
7. Rutgers-Loss
8. USF-Win
9. UCF-Loss
10. Louisville-Loss
11. Cincinnati-Loss
12. Houston-Loss

4-8 (3-5)
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Re: OT - UH swapping out a FCS school?

Postby ojaipony » Fri May 23, 2014 9:50 pm

Right because their first 4 games were so much harder than ours.

After all, ATM is no Southern. And TTU and TCU just would [deleted] the bed against UTSA and Rice.
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Re: OT - UH swapping out a FCS school?

Postby sbsmith » Fri May 23, 2014 10:06 pm

ojaipony wrote:Right because their first 4 games were so much harder than ours.

After all, ATM is no Southern. And TTU and TCU just would [deleted] the bed against UTSA and Rice.




The first 4 were easier, the last 8 were not. So we'd have started 2-2 versus the easier 4 but finished 2-6 versus the more difficult 8. We would have still been 1-3 in OOC play.
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Re: OT - UH swapping out a FCS school?

Postby couch 'em » Sat May 24, 2014 7:19 am

I don't think anyone objective thinks we are better than UH right now. We may not be better than Rice either
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Re: OT - UH swapping out a FCS school?

Postby DanFreibergerForHeisman » Sat May 24, 2014 7:46 am

couch 'em wrote:I don't think anyone objective thinks we are better than UH right now. We may not be better than Rice either

I think couch 'em is right.
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Re: OT - UH swapping out a FCS school?

Postby Big12Mustang » Sat May 24, 2014 10:18 am

couch 'em wrote:I don't think anyone objective thinks we are better than UH right now. We may not be better than Rice either

Doesn't mean we won't beat them next year. We owe them one for that 34-0 pounding last year. Hope Neal or Matt will light em up next year at Ford.
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Re: OT - UH swapping out a FCS school?

Postby NTXCoog » Sat May 24, 2014 5:31 pm

Big12Mustang wrote:
couch 'em wrote:I don't think anyone objective thinks we are better than UH right now. We may not be better than Rice either

Doesn't mean we won't beat them next year. We owe them one for that 34-0 pounding last year. Hope Neal or Matt will light em up next year at Ford.


No... 34-0 last year was a response to 72-42 the year before. :P
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