SMU2007 wrote:we are basically starting a new FBS football program next year. how long did it take UTSA etc. to get decent?
This is apples to apples in terms of talent on the current roster, but completely apples to oranges in terms of recruiting potential, conference affiliation, coaching connections in texas, booster funding, etc.
But I see your point nonetheless. We are virtually starting over (worse than when June was hired IMHO).
I think 2 wins next year is a floor, with 4 the ceiling in terms of expectations. A good coach with a solid scheme can make that much of a difference even with subpar talent.
Here's my overall thinking on reasonable expectations:
Year 1: 2-4 wins
Year 2: 4-6 wins
Year 3: 6-8 wins
Year 4: Conference championship game (9-10 wins)