Tech Spread

[Duke Blue Blood]

Spread is 26 1/2. The ONLY spread larger in the first week is UNT / UT.

I never thought we were going to win, but nobody even thinks this is going to be close. They have been watching our practices.

DBB

[Peruna2001]

So if the score is 27-13 with 3 minutes left, I guess we can expect to see Leach to try and score another touchdown and kick an onside kick to try and cover.

[Mustangs35SMU]

So if the score is 27-13 with 3 minutes left, I guess we can expect to see Leach to try and score another touchdown and kick an onside kick to try and cover.

Will Bennett charged after Leach again? With Leach hiding behind his coaches? I'd take a 27-13 loss in Lubbock if I had the choice....but I'd rather see Bennett chase after Leach again.

[MrMustang1965]

NEVER TELL ME THE ODDS! - Han Solo, Star Wars - Episode V: The Empire Strikes Back

[westexSMU]

The spread was originally SMU +28. So were getting better !

[LonghornFan68]

I seriously this thread would be much more lewd based solely on the thread title.

[Pony Up]

I fully expect that bettors will move the line a little closer before kickoff. I bet when the game kicks off, the line is around 22.

[Stallion]

no way is that line moving to 22. Matter of fact if anything it will go up. Do you people watch REAL college football?

[SMU Football Blog]

no way is that line moving to 22. Matter of fact if anything it will go up. Do you people watch REAL college football?

Do you? Spreads that open at 27 points rarely go up.

[2112]

Stallion you dog on everything at SMU from the players down to the schedule. I guess we can depend on you not being at Ford Stadium this year.

[Stallion]

Next question -have you ever seen Tech Play in Lubbock? Do you know Tech's record in Lubbock? How close have previous games with SMU been in Lubbock? Go take a look at the margin of victory in Tech's games last year. Then go tell me the Line should be 22. We have about 5 players on our team Tech even wanted. It is a total mismatch and the line will remain high.

[Pony Up]

no way is that line moving to 22. Matter of fact if anything it will go up. Do you people watch REAL college football?

Yes, I do. I also know that the line has nothing to do with how much a team will win or lose by, it's set by how much people bet on a game, how much the gamblers think a team will win by. The line is set by money that's put down on a game, not the talent differential. Sure, Tech is a very good team, with a lot of talent, a potent offense, a nutty-but-smart coach, etc., and they're at home. However, my guess was based on the fact that (A) it's the opener, so some might assume that they need to iron out the kinks, as many teams will, (B) they have a relatively new (albeit talented) QB running that gimmick offense and (C) some will look at series history and realize that we hung with Tech last time the teams met. I am not suggesting an upset. It's possible, I suppose, but I'm not predicting it. I'm merely suggesting that the bettors (many -- not all) will shy away from a blowout, thereby lowering the spread. I did not say the line "should" be 22, nor will i say the line should be 122 -- I just speculated that I think the line will drop a little, based on the betting patterns of others. Sorry if that disappoints you, but yes, I watch plenty of football and I've won plenty of bets. Not everyone is the ignoramus you like to accuse them of being.

[LonghornFan68]

Who needs coffee when you have Stallion?

[mrydel]

The Leech will be wanting to show off his new machine in Lubbock. We can hope for the best but Tech will rev up and go full the whole game.

[PerunaPunch]

I think this is easily the toughest game on the schedule to predict. Tech won at Ford last meeting by 14 points, however, 7 of those points were in mop-up time in the 4th qtr. And, I think most would agree that our '06 squad should be considerably improved over our '04 squad, and that TTech's '06 squad (with unproven Graham Harrell under center) may not quite live up to the 18th ranked TTech team of '04.

Further... Many of TTech's lopsided blowouts last year were against pipsquek teams. Other than the notable butt-kicking of A&M, when Tech played better teams, their offense was much less gaudy.

My biggest concern is our guys playing in Lubbock. It can be a zoo over there.

IMHO, this will either be a tight game that could go either way, or Tech's offense will get on a roll and light us up in the second half. That being said, I'd put the line at 10 points, and will be surprised if it's over 14 by kickoff.