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SMU a 3 Point Underdog Against Memphis

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Re: SMU a 3 Point Underdog Against Memphis

Postby Harry0569 » Wed Oct 16, 2013 12:39 pm

Based on Ed Feng's statistical analysis: "SMU at Memphis.
Memphis (93) will beat SMU (92) by 2.7 at home. SMU has a 44% chance of beating Memphis."



The Power Rank uses analytics to make predictions on sports.

These predictions are based on the team rankings, which take margin of victory in games and adjusts for strength of schedule. The algorithm behind these adjustments comes from years of research in statistical physics and applied mathematics.

http://thepowerrank.com/predictions/

If you are into statistical analysis, like I am, it's a great site.
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Re: SMU a 3 Point Underdog Against Memphis

Postby Nacho » Wed Oct 16, 2013 1:09 pm

that site has a 33% chance of being right.
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Re: SMU a 3 Point Underdog Against Memphis

Postby PK » Wed Oct 16, 2013 1:32 pm

Nacho wrote:that site has a 33% chance of being right.

Especially if strength of schedule has impact at all on the output. :roll:
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Re: SMU a 3 Point Underdog Against Memphis

Postby SMUer » Wed Oct 16, 2013 4:50 pm

College Football By the Numbers has us losing by 10 to Memphis 24-14.

Football Frontier has Memphis ranked 28 places higher than us, 102 vs. 74.
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Re: SMU a 3 Point Underdog Against Memphis

Postby feelthehorsepower » Thu Oct 17, 2013 10:51 am

SMUer wrote:College Football By the Numbers has us losing by 10 to Memphis 24-14.

Football Frontier has Memphis ranked 28 places higher than us, 102 vs. 74.


Lol when Memphis has TCU, TTU and TAMU with rutg as their schedule...then i'll beloeve those bs stats and "predictions"!!

We will NOT play a tougher defense than TCU and we still put up 17 points on a mediocre offensive performance. I like the prediction of 41-17 SMU taking it big on the road!
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Re: SMU a 3 Point Underdog Against Memphis

Postby East Coast Mustang » Thu Oct 17, 2013 11:02 am

If we lose to Memphis then the cat is really out of the bag.
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Re: SMU a 3 Point Underdog Against Memphis

Postby feelthehorsepower » Thu Oct 17, 2013 11:43 am

East Coast Mustang wrote:If we lose to Memphis then the cat is really out of the bag.


Them being a top defense nationally has translated to 1-4...same as our being 7th in passing yards...all smoke and mirrors. I pick SMU BIG vs Memphis 48-17
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Re: SMU a 3 Point Underdog Against Memphis

Postby Cougar King » Fri Oct 18, 2013 10:33 am

Loser of this game will be in the bottom 10 or close to it.
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Re: SMU a 3 Point Underdog Against Memphis

Postby ojaipony » Fri Oct 18, 2013 10:38 am

I can appreciate Memphis being improved. They have played NO ONE, except they played well against a good UCF. We need two big blowout wins in a row to have any chance whatsoever of at least having a decent season (bottom of the barrel bowl). Saying if that didn't happen I'd be be extremely disappointed, would be an understatement.
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Re: SMU a 3 Point Underdog Against Memphis

Postby ghost » Fri Oct 18, 2013 11:00 am

They have to figure a way to win. They have been in some games and have a chance in some future games but they have to find a way to win these close games instead of finding a way to lose such as giving up 3rd and 25 tds in ot. Doesn't do any good for the receivers to lead the nation and qb to throw for 600 yards if you lose. Usually a team can make up that difference with special teams and turnovers...blocked kick or punt, turnover sometimes just 1 play! A fiery, motivational coach can sometimes make the difference instead of one that looks like he just woke up from his nap and keeps looking at the clock to see if he is on schedule for his dinner plans.
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Re: SMU a 3 Point Underdog Against Memphis

Postby Arkpony » Fri Oct 18, 2013 11:14 am

You had to mention that OT 3rd and 24 TD! I had just about gotten that out of my mind! How on EARTH do we let that happen? No completion and we win the game.
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Re: SMU a 3 Point Underdog Against Memphis

Postby PonySnob » Fri Oct 18, 2013 11:38 am

Arkpony wrote:You had to mention that OT 3rd and 24 TD! I had just about gotten that out of my mind! How on EARTH do we let that happen? No completion and we win the game.


Phil Bennet once said there are no plays for 3rd & 20 for first downs, etc. That being said, teams seem to convert those long distances against us on a regular basis. However, Phil did forget a lot if football.........
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