Stallion wrote:TCU is 5 Deep at RB too. That was the backup last week running. Their 3rd stringer rushed for over 100 the week before. Their 4th stringer is a home run hitter. Their 5th Top RB is a 4 star
Ha! Baylor and TCU are back to back in NCAA rushing stats
Baylor 230 ypg
TCU 227 ypg
No significant difference-I take that back TCU averages and incredible 5.7 yards per rush while Baylor averages 4.6 yards per rush. Statistically a slight advantage for TCU which has played better schedule
I don't care what stats TCU ran up on other teams- I care how they match up head to head if I am betting on a matchup.
Head to head BU limited TCU to around less than 4.5 per carry other than the one long run where they blitzed out of position for barely above 100 yards and TCU had one to two other long runs on a play BU adjusted to and shut down still skewing the average.
BU had 5.5 per carry and over 250 yards and TCU had no answer and the last few drives were even bigger evidence of it running it down their throat.
I don't care how many good backs they have, I care which team won the line of scrimmage and BU was far more consistent in that regard. Rushing success and yards per possession were heavily in BU's favor for a reason and that is more likely to replicate itself in a rematch than TCU getting +2 in turnovers with 2 non-offensive scores. I would heavily favor Baylor as I feel the BU lines will beat the TCU lines more often than not.
BU had almost double the first downs, double the rushing yards, and around 100 more passing yards- they had the consistent plays you would expect to be the norm if the teams played 10 games. TCU had the low % plays like the long pass into double coverage, the 4th and forever td bomb, the long run when BU stunted out of position, and the non-offensive scores. Which is likely to be reliable? I'll take consistent head to head result.