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http://www.pointspread.com/cobrands/ind ... and=rivals

Tech is favored by 26.5. Thoughts?

We lost to them at home by 11 and lost to them in Lubbock by 48. So, the mid point is around 30. So, the spread for the first week of the season is probably not a bad spread. Plusses for SMU. Bennett has had more success against Leach defensively than many coaches. We have a good defensive line, good linebackers (although inexperienced) and good safeties. We should have a decent running attack. Tech has a good but inexperienced QB as well this year. Their DL may be suspect. Minuses. Inexperienced QB's and CB's for SMU. SMU's O/L suspect as well. We might keep it close if we can control the running game and the clock. If Tech has to add run support from the LB's and the safeties, we might open up some big plays. On the other hand if we have some turnovers early and let Tech get a solid lead they tend to open it up even more. So, it could get ugly. I think the odds makers are not sure which way this could go and are hedging their line a bit. Tech usually wins big at Tech.

Tech is used to starting a new QB and having a lot of success. SMU is not. Tech's offense is the defense. They intend to outscore us, which they will. The spread is correct unfortunately, especially since we are playing in Lubbock.

when are the spreads ever incorrect? if u know of any, plz enlighten us

jkflamebo wrote:when are the spreads ever incorrect? if u know of any, plz enlighten us

Evidently it was incorrect for the TCU game last year.

21-10 SMU! and that wasn't the spread.

PK wrote:

jkflamebo wrote:when are the spreads ever incorrect? if u know of any, plz enlighten us

Evidently it was incorrect for the TCU game last year.

21-10 SMU! and that wasn't the spread.

If i was wrong less than 5% of the time I would be a multi millionaire.. oh wait minute most bookies are and i have heard that vegas has quite a bit of money..

so yes they were wrong, but go ahead and take 30 scores from any league and the spreads will be accurate on about 85% of the 30 scores..

my 5% quote came from the thousands of scores that lines are posted for throughtout the year...

Just answering the Dude's question...nothing more...nothing less.

But since you brought it up...the odds obviously aren't great, but [deleted] happens. That's why they play the games.

Go MUSTANGS. Beat the odds and kick some Tech butt.

jkflamebo wrote:when are the spreads ever incorrect? if u know of any, plz enlighten us

See SMU vs Vandy in 1991? or 1990? Vandy was favored by double digits.. SMU won by like 34 pts.

Never forget watching the many SAE's that were selling cars and personal belongings to pay-off their bets. Hilarious

9/2 3:30 et At Clemson -33.5 Florida Atlantic
9/2 8:00 et At LSU -29.5 Louisiana Lafayette
9/2 12:00 et At Michigan State -28.5 Idaho
9/2 12:00 et At Texas -40.5 North Texas

Just showing the larger spreads than ours.

The wager I am putting on the board here in Arkansas is "who will come closest to covering their respective spread, Arkansas/USC 8.5 or SMU/Tech 26.5?" Personally, I think the UA/USC differential will be close to the same as the SMU/Tech, and both will be above 20 points. But then again, thoughts like this are why I had to give up gambling.

The question for bookies is to set a number that will get the closest to equal numbers of bets on both sides. They don't want heavy action on either side, because then they can lose big. Given that and seeing the reactions above, there are some that will bet TT will cover and some will bet that SMU will cover. That's what the bookies want and the number must be a good spread.