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SMU (-5) vs Marshall
Posted:
Fri Oct 13, 2006 9:59 pmby SMULLET
Line jumped just one point after Willis' return was announced.
What's up with that!?! He's only worth ONE point? i dont think so....
Re: SMU (-5) vs Marshall
Posted:
Fri Oct 13, 2006 10:24 pmby perunapower
SMULLET wrote:Line jumped just one point after Willis' return was announced.
What's up with that!?! He's only worth ONE point? i dont think so....
They don't know anything. They picked us to win by 3 over Ark St. I'd love to see a blowout like that tomorrow.
Posted:
Fri Oct 13, 2006 10:56 pmby PonyPride
Relax. The line isn't set by how much Vegas thinks one team will win by. It's set as an estimate of the margin that will convince betters to split 50-50, thereby ensuring that the house (casino) wins money. Willis could be the second coming of Brett Favre, but he's still basically anonymous on the national level, hence the minimal shift in the line.
Posted:
Fri Oct 13, 2006 11:17 pmby SMULLET
Agreed,
There isnt enough action on this game to produce a significant shift in the line. Even if the starting QB of the favored team changes three days prior to kick off, there isnt going to be much of a change. That's why its been fun to bet on SMU this year.
From a fan's prospective, I think J-Will is probably worth around a TD.
Im not saying SMU is a 'lock' at -5 (this IS SMU were are talking about), but it just seems really low to me...
Posted:
Sat Oct 14, 2006 12:05 amby smu diamond m
SMULLET wrote:Agreed,
There isnt enough action on this game to produce a significant shift in the line. Even if the starting QB of the favored team changes three days prior to kick off, there isnt going to be much of a change. That's why its been fun to bet on SMU this year.
From a fan's prospective, I think J-Will is probably worth around a TD.
Im not saying SMU is a 'lock' at -5 (this IS SMU were are talking about), but it just seems really low to me...
I think it's a lock at -5.
But I'm still shooting for 9-3.
Posted:
Sat Oct 14, 2006 12:47 amby Pony Up
Line should be Ponies by 9 -- minimum.
Posted:
Sat Oct 14, 2006 11:54 amby Stallion
Experienced Gambler? Let's see no Muse, no Rodgers, probably no Martin and the questionmarks for both QBs(lack of experience and troubling forst game for Slater and lack of preparation and distraction for Willis) I'd say SMU is going to have to play a heck of a game to win.
Posted:
Sat Oct 14, 2006 12:04 pmby FordtoTolbert
...I agree, Stallion...NO game is "in the bag" for this bunch. Actually, "if" we really have something this year, we should beat Marchall by 20++, not sure if a 21-17 SMU W will be worthy of "mouth foaming"....