PonyFans.com

61 Houston
64 Tulsa
66 Navy
67 East Carolina
70 SMU

http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/ ... titialskip

Houston and Tulsa at home.
I think we matchup well with ECU, NAvy may be more difficult.

If we catch Navy on a clear day, it could be a shootout. They are having trouble inside the redzone this year. So, it will be tough, but winnable. They lost of a solid AF team.

Navy has not looked like the Navy of old this year. Ricky Dobbs, a [way outside] Heisman contender, has been terrible, only averaging 2.4 ypc. Besides the LA Tech game, which they won 37-13, they lost to Maryland [bottom 2 of the ACC], beat GA Southern, D-IAA, 13-7, and lost to AFA 14-6.

I think if the weather is right, we go up to Annapolis and beat them.

EastStang wrote:If we catch Navy on a clear day, it could be a shootout. They are having trouble inside the redzone this year. So, it will be tough, but winnable. They lost of a solid AF team.

Navy is an average, at best, rush defense, but a very good pass defense. They did not match-up so well vs. AF.

They're option attack looked like it could be handled by our front seven this year. I'm somewhat confident in that.

Sagarin is useless right now.

For the first few weeks of the season, the starting ratings have weight
in the process(BAYESIAN), but once the teams are all WELL CONNECTED, then
the starting ratings are no longer used and all teams are started equal
and the ELO CHESS is then done in an UNBIASED manner from that point on.

The teams are now NOT WELL CONNECTED and so the ratings are BAYESIAN.

I hate Bayesian ratings.