CFN Prediction: SMU 52 Memphis 17

[Harry0569]

SMU (2-1) at Memphis (1-2) Sept. 24, 12:00, FSN

Here’s The Deal … Memphis hosts Conference USA foe SMU in what appears to be a mismatch after seeing both teams’ start to the season.

Memphis is 1-2, with its only victory coming against FCS member Austin Peay by a score of 27-6. The Tigers have been destroyed by Mississippi State and Arkansas State, the former being forgivable, but the latter not so much. Things have gotten so bad in Memphis that the defensive coordinator resigned just two weeks into the season. The Tigers are hoping that last week helped build some confidence, and that playing at home will be enough of an advantage to help them pull off the upset.

SMU has had a decent start to the year, with a nice win last week over Northwestern State and a key conference victory over UTEP to place the Mustangs as the early leaders in Conference USA West. Head coach June Jones has built this program up significantly from where it was just a few years ago, but now SMU is looking to take the next step and win the conference outright.

Why SMU Might Win: The Mustangs are 13-4 in their last 17 conference games, and are facing one of the bottom-feeders in the conference. The SMU passing game has been outstanding so far, averaging over 300 yards per game, typical of a Jones-coached offense. They are led by Senior QB J.J. McDermott and RB Zach Line, who is averaging over 100 yards per game on the ground and has accumulated eight rushing touchdowns already this season. The Mustangs should be able to feast on the Memphis defense, which is the third worst nationally. The 118th-ranked Tiger D has allowed 541 yards per game, including over 600 yards to both FBS level teams they have played.

Why Memphis Might Win: Memphis has never lost to SMU, winning all three previous meetings between the two schools. However, this year is different, and the Tigers may have picked up their only win of the season last week, but they will look to prove their skeptics wrong with a big home win on Homecoming Day. If there is only one thing Memphis is good at, it’s punting. The Tigers have done an outstanding job of covering on special teams and not allowing big plays in the return game. If Memphis does not give up any cheap scores to SMU, and if the Tigers can win the field position battle they may have a chance to keep it close long enough to deliver the stunner.

What To Watch Out For: SMU WR Cole Beasley. The senior wideout has been McDermott’s favorite target, averaging over nine receptions per game. While he is not a true homerun threat, Beasley is sure handed and can help his quarterback get out of a jam to keep drives going. He tallied 171 yards last week against Northwestern St., and should be able to settle into the mile-wide gaps the Memphis secondary has been providing opponents this year. Expect a monster for the SMU passing game.

What Will Happen: Memphis will play with emotion the first quarter and part of the second, but the Tigers will not be able to stop anything the SMU offense throws at them. The Mustangs offense will throw for over 400 yards, and Zach Line will add another 150 on the ground to completely wear down the Tiger defense. Memphis just does not have enough playmakers on offense or enough talent on defense to be able to hang with a top-tier Conference USA program.

CFN Prediction: SMU 52 … Memphis 17 … Line: SMU -22

[Harry0569]

Very positive...I am sticking with my 45-7 prediction...but seeing us hang 52 would be nice.

[95mustang]

Would love to see us score 50+!!! 400 yards passing would be great, too!

[StallionsModelT]

34-17 SMU

[indianmustang]

31-21

[Mestengo]

We have the greatest QB'S IN THE history of college football

[ponyte]

I hope our D is better than to allow 17 points.

[Harry0569]

I hope our D is better than to allow 17 points.

Hopefully, our starters give up less than 10, and they score a late TD against the backups.

[LA_Mustang]

I didn't realize we are 13-4 in our last 17 conference games....not bad

[CalallenStang]

If there is only one thing Memphis is good at, it’s punting.

A few years back, they said the exact same thing about SMU. We've come a long way since then.

[leopold]

This very well could be a shutout.

If there was ever a CUSA beatdown, this could be it.

[smupony94]

We need a good road win

[1983 Cotton Bowl]

It would surprise me if our defense gives up 17 points to Memphis. I don't see Memphis getting 17 unless they score a defensive touchdown.

[RyanSMU98]

This game has trap written all over it. I didn't realize we were winless against Memphis, and we're playing at their place. I'm not taking anything for granted against a team with their backs against the wall. Yes, we should blow them out, but I just don't know yet.

What it should be: SMU 42, Memphis 7

More likely: SMU 35, Memphis 21

I think we beat this team, but if we are looking forward to TCU even a little bit, we could have a game on our hands in a heartbeat (I'm thinking Tulane last year, where we had to come back against a team that had no business holding a lead on us).

[Comet]

If we win by two touchdowns I'll be happy. We should blow them out, but you still never know with our team :p