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Selected Current Sagarin Predictor Rankings
Posted:
Wed Sep 28, 2011 11:27 amby ponyboy
Texas A&M 12
TCU 13
Navy 42
Tulsa 47
UCF 51
Houston 53
SMU 55
Southern Miss 61
East Carolina 80
Rice 103
Re: Selected Current Sagarin Predictor Rankings
Posted:
Wed Sep 28, 2011 11:54 amby smupony94
UTEP and Memphis so bad they are off the list?
Re: Selected Current Sagarin Predictor Rankings
Posted:
Wed Sep 28, 2011 12:54 pmby GreenbeltPony
IIRC Memphis is #168 (lower than some FCS teams).
Re: Selected Current Sagarin Predictor Rankings
Posted:
Wed Sep 28, 2011 12:56 pmby ponyinNC
so Tulsa goes 0-3 OOC, but somehow ranks abouve us and Houston? C'mon man. Bottom line - Tulsa lost those games. Kudos for the brave schedule, but a loss is a loss.
Re: Selected Current Sagarin Predictor Rankings
Posted:
Wed Sep 28, 2011 1:10 pmby CalallenStang
These are still weighted from last season
Re: Selected Current Sagarin Predictor Rankings
Posted:
Wed Sep 28, 2011 1:23 pmby ponyboy
True, Calallen. For the "first few weeks of the season."
UTEP 104
Memphis 200
Re: Selected Current Sagarin Predictor Rankings
Posted:
Wed Sep 28, 2011 1:24 pmby CalallenStang
ponyboy wrote:True, Calallen. For the "first few weeks of the season."
UTEP 104
Memphis 200
200? That's bad. That's really bad.
Of course, that's probably pretty accurate.
Re: Selected Current Sagarin Predictor Rankings
Posted:
Wed Sep 28, 2011 1:36 pmby Stallion
Northwestern Louisiana No. 159
Selected Current Sagarin Predictor Rankings
Posted:
Wed Sep 28, 2011 1:54 pmby Dooby
If I recall, last year they relied on the prior season's finish through 4 games.
Re: Selected Current Sagarin Predictor Rankings
Posted:
Wed Sep 28, 2011 1:56 pmby CalallenStang
Dooby wrote:If I recall, last year they relied on the prior season's finish through 4 games.
I don't know what they did last year, but they are still weighted right now.
http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/fbt11.htmFor the first few weeks of the season, the starting ratings have weight
in the process(BAYESIAN), but once the teams are all WELL CONNECTED, then
the starting ratings are no longer used and all teams are started equal
and the RATING, ELO-CHESS, and PURE POINTS (PREDICTOR) are then done in an UNBIASED manner from that point on.
The teams are now UN-CONNECTED and so all three ratings are BAYESIAN
Re: Selected Current Sagarin Predictor Rankings
Posted:
Wed Sep 28, 2011 1:57 pmby ponyboy
That sounds about right. It's statistical "connectedness" the system is looking for. Until then, the ratings are "Bayesian."
Re: Selected Current Sagarin Predictor Rankings
Posted:
Wed Sep 28, 2011 1:57 pmby ponyboy
Calallen beat me to it.
Selected Current Sagarin Predictor Rankings
Posted:
Wed Sep 28, 2011 2:01 pmby Dooby
TCU at 13 and undefeated Baylor at 40? Hard to make any sense of that.
Re: Selected Current Sagarin Predictor Rankings
Posted:
Wed Sep 28, 2011 2:02 pmby CalallenStang
Dooby wrote:TCU at 13 and undefeated Baylor at 40? Hard to make any sense of that.
TCU had a better 2010.
Re: Selected Current Sagarin Predictor Rankings
Posted:
Wed Sep 28, 2011 3:35 pmby smupony94