Not so bold prediction: BE will stay together
Posted: Thu Oct 06, 2011 12:46 pm
Just reading the tea leaves like I always do, but barring a Big Ten expansion, the Big East will definitely stay together, despite all of the doomsday scenarios out there.
Even if Louisville defects to the B12, you still have Rutgers, Cincinnati, UConn, WVU, and USF. Not exactly the SEC West, but those teams won't have anywhere to go. Rutgers and UConn= big media market. WVU is a solid program and USF is on the rise.
Question is, how many teams do they take, and whom do they take?
I think UCF is a shoe-in at this point. If they still have interest in TX, then SMU and Houston make the most sense as travel partners. Service academies, ECU, and Southern Miss may also get looks, especially if they want to go to 10 or 12.
12 might look like this:
North: Rutgers, UConn, WVU, Cincy, Army, Navy
South: USF, UCF, SMU, Houston, ECU, Southern Miss
That's not great, but it's a whole lot better than where we are now and there's some huge media markets represented. How well they're represented by those schools is another matter, of course.
The key is perserving AQ status. I'm admittedly not familiar with how that works, but I would imagine it's looking pretty dim for the BE right now.
The only thing that screws this up is if Big Ten goes to 14 or 16 and invites Rutgers and/or UConn.
Even if Louisville defects to the B12, you still have Rutgers, Cincinnati, UConn, WVU, and USF. Not exactly the SEC West, but those teams won't have anywhere to go. Rutgers and UConn= big media market. WVU is a solid program and USF is on the rise.
Question is, how many teams do they take, and whom do they take?
I think UCF is a shoe-in at this point. If they still have interest in TX, then SMU and Houston make the most sense as travel partners. Service academies, ECU, and Southern Miss may also get looks, especially if they want to go to 10 or 12.
12 might look like this:
North: Rutgers, UConn, WVU, Cincy, Army, Navy
South: USF, UCF, SMU, Houston, ECU, Southern Miss
That's not great, but it's a whole lot better than where we are now and there's some huge media markets represented. How well they're represented by those schools is another matter, of course.
The key is perserving AQ status. I'm admittedly not familiar with how that works, but I would imagine it's looking pretty dim for the BE right now.
The only thing that screws this up is if Big Ten goes to 14 or 16 and invites Rutgers and/or UConn.