Cotton Pickin Mustangs
Posted: Fri Oct 25, 2019 7:57 am8-0 Ponies going into Memphis. What besides many prayers from above would it take for SMU to somehow make the 4 playoff teams?
Go Ponies!!
Go Ponies!!
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Posted: Fri Oct 25, 2019 7:57 amRe: Cotton Pickin Mustangs
Posted: Fri Oct 25, 2019 8:30 am0% chance of playoff. Cotton Bowl Jerryworld is a very real possibility though and would be hero level.
Re: Cotton Pickin Mustangs
Posted: Fri Oct 25, 2019 8:40 amLike 40 teams would have to get struck by lightning simultaneously for that to happen.
Re: Cotton Pickin Mustangs
Posted: Fri Oct 25, 2019 9:03 amfreqz wrote:Like 40 teams would have to get struck by lightning simultaneously for that to happen.
Totally disagree.
The lightning strikes could be at any random series of times.
Re: Cotton Pickin Mustangs
Posted: Fri Oct 25, 2019 9:11 amAnd 39 teams would suffice.
Re: Cotton Pickin Mustangs
Posted: Fri Oct 25, 2019 9:14 amEh super improbable but not impossible. If Alabama loses to Auburn and Championship. Ohio state loses twice. Clemson loses 1 and ND losing once in the next few games could do it.
Nevertheless, the mission now is going as underdogs (probably +10 spread) against Memphis.
Nevertheless, the mission now is going as underdogs (probably +10 spread) against Memphis.
Re: Cotton Pickin Mustangs
Posted: Fri Oct 25, 2019 9:27 amstarts and ends with beating Memphis
Re: Cotton Pickin Mustangs
Posted: Fri Oct 25, 2019 9:30 amNothing exists except Memphis right now. Tall tall order beating them at their place.
Re: Cotton Pickin Mustangs
Posted: Fri Oct 25, 2019 9:32 amThat’s exactly right. I’m really looking forward to that game.
Re: Cotton Pickin Mustangs
Posted: Fri Oct 25, 2019 2:45 pmBefore the Houston game I saw betting odds of SMU in the CFB playoffs at 1/20.
Now? Gotta see what the others do.
Now? Gotta see what the others do.
Re: Cotton Pickin Mustangs
Posted: Fri Oct 25, 2019 3:47 pmHoneslty, I'd give us about a 1% chance at this point, but, yeah, we have to beat Memphis first.
Re: Cotton Pickin Mustangs
Posted: Fri Oct 25, 2019 4:05 pmThe PonyGrad wrote:Before the Houston game I saw betting odds of SMU in the CFB playoffs at 1/20.
Now? Gotta see what the others do.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U7fjDS0jKiE
Re: Cotton Pickin Mustangs
Posted: Fri Oct 25, 2019 5:56 pmAbout the same odds as coming back from 21 down in the 4th quarter and pulling out a win.
Re: Cotton Pickin Mustangs
Posted: Fri Oct 25, 2019 7:07 pmmtrout wrote:0% chance of playoff. Cotton Bowl Jerryworld is a very real possibility though and would be hero level.
Agree. Will be one heck of an accomplishment to finish as the highest ranked G5 team. The bubble could burst next Saturday in Memphis. That team looked very impressive last week vs Tulane.
Re: Cotton Pickin Mustangs
Posted: Fri Oct 25, 2019 7:44 pmHere's a little something you can play with. According to this "table" if SMU wins out, they have a 3% chance of making the playoffs and <1% of winning the national championship.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/20 ... edictions/
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/20 ... edictions/