The true test of recruiting is when that class of recruits are seniors. How one performs at the high school level doesn't always pan out at the college level. A kid may get hung up on a girl, home sick or just flat not have the desire to commit to a college program.
Factors that can't be measured or predicted. Look at the better classes in '97 & '98. They just didn't produce as hoped.
And I am not trying to rain on our parade just expressing guarded emotions about recruiting and the final results.