Page 1 of 1
Recruiting as Highly Predictive of All-American/NFL Success

Posted:
Sun Jan 22, 2012 5:48 pm
by Stallion
Re: Recruiting as Highly Predictive of All-American/NFL Succ

Posted:
Sun Jan 22, 2012 8:00 pm
by ponyscott
Someone needs to send this to June and Orsini..pretty definitive overview.
Re: Recruiting as Highly Predictive of All-American/NFL Succ

Posted:
Mon Jan 23, 2012 12:48 pm
by ClickClack
I don't think anyone says that the recruit rankings don't matter, they are indicitive. However, I think it is much more telling for the national powers and top 10-20 classes. The 5 stars are generally can't miss guys that anyone can look at and say "this kid is a stud, 5 star" and you don't need to be a trained evaluator...the 4 stars are the same to a certain extent.
When we are dealing with everyone else (I will exclude those high 3 star's that are fringe guys), a vast majority of the 2 and low-mid 3 star guys are in similar talent category...some will pan out and others won't...which is when I rely on a proven talent evaluators eye (our coaches) as opposed to a recruiting service.
I didn't get a chance to read the entire article, so If I stated something that contradicts anything in the article, my apologies.
Re: Recruiting as Highly Predictive of All-American/NFL Succ

Posted:
Mon Jan 23, 2012 12:59 pm
by Stallion
So you don't find the difference between 38% (3 Stars) and 5.6% (2 stars) to be significant?
Re: Recruiting as Highly Predictive of All-American/NFL Succ

Posted:
Mon Jan 23, 2012 1:10 pm
by ClickClack
I am sure it is significant, I just feel that it is much harder to evlauate/rate/differentiate the middle of the road talent.
Re: Recruiting as Highly Predictive of All-American/NFL Succ

Posted:
Mon Jan 23, 2012 11:11 pm
by well travelled pony
I realize that the recruiting sites do show that having "high rated recruits" makes a difference, BUT not always. Yes, I know it is only ONE example, but David Stanley was a major recruit, anc look how that worked out.
Go Ponies!