I think we are a 5 bid league.

[JasonB]

The committee watches the games. They also take certain criteria into account that will help the conference. The post-season performances last year will help us. I'm going to go out on a limb and say we get five bids.

SMU - I think making the conference final puts us at a solid 5 seed, not a 6. If we win conference against uconn at uconn, we might pop to a 4.

Tulsa - the committee will not keep out the team that finished second in conference. They had some bad losses early, but also brought in a new coach with a significantly different system than Manning had. They committee will take that into account.

Cincy -Finishing third in conference and the big NC State and SDSU games get them in.

Temple - the committee is going to do the research and realize that they were a very good team after the transfers started playing and when they were healthy, including the big Kansas win. They absolutely look the part and would have been a lot closer at the end against us if Bond wasn't in foul trouble.

UConn - they had a lot of relatively close losses early, when they were trying to deal with the loss of napier. After Boatright assumed control of the team, it is different. They have one bad loss, at Houston. But their record is lower because they played a really tough non-conference schedule, and the American is a very good conference at the top. If the committee hurt us because of non-conference last year, they should benefit UConn this year. And if you watch the games, UConn is a much better team than Texas, with a very similar record.

Keep your eye on the seedings. If SMU is a 6 seed, I think the AAC gets 3 bids and that is it. But if SMU gets a 5 seed, which a top 20 team should get, I think the AAC will end up with 5 teams in the tourney.

And I know I will get a lot of grief on this prediction. But I think the UConn - SMU game two weeks ago did a lot for the rep of the conference. And if the committee watches these semi-final games, you can't keep these teams out.

[ojaipony]

We SHOULD be a 5 bid league (B12 and B10 is overrated). But we will get 3 at most. (I think everyone knows how I feel about the NCAA - bunch of idiots).

[redpony]

if the selection commitee had a brain they'd take it out and play with it.

[gostangs]

Jason - you are on some sort of good hooch

It will be VERY lucky if we get four. I would guess three.

[Hoop Fan]

i think the league is massively disrespected, not sure why other than the bottom of the league is weak but that shouldn't count as negatively as it seems to be because the league is solid 6 deep. SMU should get big benefit of the doubt for MK being out first half of season. If we win the reg season and tourney in this league, we should be no lower than a 4 seed. We probably shouldnt even have to beat Uconn on their home floor to get that 4 seed either. this league deserves 4 bids i think, but 5 is a stretch. Deserve at least one more than the Atlantic 10 thats for sure.

[mrydel]

No way we can get 5. The way they talk about the Big 12, they will get 12 teams in with a 10 team conference.

[redpony]

dammit Mrydel- there you go again using aggie math. please stop it. it confuses us mathematicians.

[PonyTime]

Bold prediction: An AAC team will win the NIT this year. Either UCONN or Tulsa.

[PonyKai]

Jason - and I dont say this disrespectfully - the AAC just got hosed last year and I don't see anything changing this year.

[SMUstang07]

IF UConn gets in it will be at the expense of Tulsa or Temple. Our only real shot at 4 bids would be Uconn and Temple getting in IMO

[mustangxc]

SMU and Cincinnati are locks. Temple is very likely in. If Tulsa or UCONN win the final, then one of those two is in. I don't think Tulsa gets in without the automatic bid, at least not without making the final. Tulsa should be in, but the league does not get the respect it deserves.

[gostangs]

there is mathematically no chance of 5. Loser of Uconn Tulsa is not advancing to NCAA under any scenario.

Tulsa wins vs uconn we have a shot at 4 - even if they lose to us. Uconn wins, they have to beat us to go - and then we get 4. Uconn wins vs Tulsa and then loses to us and AAC only gets in three.

[Lebanese4Life]

We SHOULD be a 5 bid league (B12 and B10 is overrated). But we will get 3 at most. (I think everyone knows how I feel about the NCAA - bunch of idiots).

where the heck do u guys get this from?? B12 is not overrated at all. It's the best conference top to bottom. Kansas, Baylor, Iowa State, OU, WV, Texas, and Okie St. are all quality teams and would give us a game. the AAC is crap and 3 bids are what we deserve

[DanFreibergerForHeisman]

I agree 5 bids are deserved, but I still think we are looking at 3 unless Connecticut or Tulsa win tomorrow.

[PonySnob]

3 bids at most