I think we are a 5 bid league.
Posted: Sat Mar 14, 2015 5:19 pmThe committee watches the games. They also take certain criteria into account that will help the conference. The post-season performances last year will help us. I'm going to go out on a limb and say we get five bids.
SMU - I think making the conference final puts us at a solid 5 seed, not a 6. If we win conference against uconn at uconn, we might pop to a 4.
Tulsa - the committee will not keep out the team that finished second in conference. They had some bad losses early, but also brought in a new coach with a significantly different system than Manning had. They committee will take that into account.
Cincy -Finishing third in conference and the big NC State and SDSU games get them in.
Temple - the committee is going to do the research and realize that they were a very good team after the transfers started playing and when they were healthy, including the big Kansas win. They absolutely look the part and would have been a lot closer at the end against us if Bond wasn't in foul trouble.
UConn - they had a lot of relatively close losses early, when they were trying to deal with the loss of napier. After Boatright assumed control of the team, it is different. They have one bad loss, at Houston. But their record is lower because they played a really tough non-conference schedule, and the American is a very good conference at the top. If the committee hurt us because of non-conference last year, they should benefit UConn this year. And if you watch the games, UConn is a much better team than Texas, with a very similar record.
Keep your eye on the seedings. If SMU is a 6 seed, I think the AAC gets 3 bids and that is it. But if SMU gets a 5 seed, which a top 20 team should get, I think the AAC will end up with 5 teams in the tourney.
And I know I will get a lot of grief on this prediction. But I think the UConn - SMU game two weeks ago did a lot for the rep of the conference. And if the committee watches these semi-final games, you can't keep these teams out.
SMU - I think making the conference final puts us at a solid 5 seed, not a 6. If we win conference against uconn at uconn, we might pop to a 4.
Tulsa - the committee will not keep out the team that finished second in conference. They had some bad losses early, but also brought in a new coach with a significantly different system than Manning had. They committee will take that into account.
Cincy -Finishing third in conference and the big NC State and SDSU games get them in.
Temple - the committee is going to do the research and realize that they were a very good team after the transfers started playing and when they were healthy, including the big Kansas win. They absolutely look the part and would have been a lot closer at the end against us if Bond wasn't in foul trouble.
UConn - they had a lot of relatively close losses early, when they were trying to deal with the loss of napier. After Boatright assumed control of the team, it is different. They have one bad loss, at Houston. But their record is lower because they played a really tough non-conference schedule, and the American is a very good conference at the top. If the committee hurt us because of non-conference last year, they should benefit UConn this year. And if you watch the games, UConn is a much better team than Texas, with a very similar record.
Keep your eye on the seedings. If SMU is a 6 seed, I think the AAC gets 3 bids and that is it. But if SMU gets a 5 seed, which a top 20 team should get, I think the AAC will end up with 5 teams in the tourney.
And I know I will get a lot of grief on this prediction. But I think the UConn - SMU game two weeks ago did a lot for the rep of the conference. And if the committee watches these semi-final games, you can't keep these teams out.