Stallion, would you say you believe in an "efficient talent analyzation hypothesis" vis a vis finance's EMH? A description of EMH is pasted below...essentially no actors can outperform the herd.
In finance, the efficient-market hypothesis (EMH) asserts that financial markets are "informationally efficient", or that prices on traded assets (e.g., stocks, bonds, or property) already reflect all known information, and rapidly change to reflect new information. Therefore it is impossible to consistently outperform the market by using any information that the market already knows, except through luck. Information or news in the EMH is defined as anything that may affect prices that is unknowable in the present and thus appears randomly in the future.