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Posted: Mon Feb 02, 2009 11:35 am
by ReedFrawg
max the wonder dog wrote:Stallion,

While you are on the subject, can you explain why Rivals has Rice listed higher that SMU (205 - 190 total points) when SMU has more recruits (26-23), more 4 stars (1-0), more 3 stars (7-3) and higher average stars (2.35-1.87)?


The only way to even compare is to look at average stars per recruit. This eliminates their dumb point system and also eliminates the bias in favor of large classes.

Posted: Mon Feb 02, 2009 1:53 pm
by 1983 Cotton Bowl
I think we may have some real players in this class. This is a good first step for us. TCU is looking really strong. What can you say. . .success breeds success.

Even though this is an SMU board and not a USM board, I have to say that Southern Miss has put together a couple of stout recruiting classes in a row. They are looking good. No wonder Ole Miss and Miss State always duck them.

Posted: Wed Feb 04, 2009 8:28 pm
by Stallion
I updated for additions and substractions in recent days-UH down, Marshall and UAB up. Tulsa lost and gained but ended slightly higher.

Posted: Wed Feb 04, 2009 9:37 pm
by huskerpony
expony18 wrote:baylor is going to be good the next 3 years


That freshman QB is FAAAAAST!!!!

Posted: Thu Feb 05, 2009 10:34 am
by Amon Carter
max the wonder dog wrote:Stallion,

While you are on the subject, can you explain why Rivals has Rice listed higher that SMU (205 - 190 total points) when SMU has more recruits (26-23), more 4 stars (1-0), more 3 stars (7-3) and higher average stars (2.35-1.87)?


The position rankings are key in the Rival's formula. Rice got the #5 kicker so their "N" in the formula below was 18 (versus 0 for SMU since none of the SMU commits who were position ranked were ranked high enough to generate any "N" points). So basically because Rice got a "top" kicker, their rivals points were multiplied by a bigger factor.

http://footballrecruiting.rivals.com/sh ... 80&style=2

Here is the team ranking formula for those interested... (please keep in mind a statistician from UC-Berkeley developed this for us).

Please note you only take the top 20 prospects in this formula, ordered by # Stars descending.

POINTS = ((N / (N + 50)) * H) + ((50 / (N + 50)) * L)

where...

H = 250 for each 5-star commit + 140 for each 4-star + 75 for each 3-star + 20 for each 2-star + 10 for each 1-star

L = 18 for each 5-star + 12 for each 4-star + 8 for each 3-star + 3 for each 2-star + 1 for each 1-star

N = a big honkin' calculation, described below

CALCULATION OF N:
10 for each commit on the Rivals 100 (high school) ranked 1-10
9 for each commit on the Rivals 100 (high school) ranked 11-20
etc. down to...
1 for each commit on the Rivals 100 (high school) ranked 91-100

10 for each commit on the Rivals 100 (non-high school) ranked 1-10
9 for each commit on the Rivals 100 (non-high school) ranked 11-20
etc. down to...
6 for each commit on the Rivals 100 (non-high school) ranked 41-50

24 for each commit ranked #1 on his official position ranking
18 for each commit ranked #2-5 on his official position ranking
8 for each commit ranked 6-X on his official position ranking, where X is dependent on detail position, as listed below...

--Dual-threat QB: 25
--Pro-style QB: 25
--Running Back: 35
--All-Purpose Back: 15
--Fullback: 15
--Wide Receiver: 50
--Tight End: 20
--Offensive Tackle: 40
--Offensive Guard: 30
--Offensive Center: 10
--Defensive Tackle: 50
--Weakside Defensive End: 20
--Strongside Defensive End: 30
--Inside Linebacker: 35
--Outside Linebacker: 35
--Cornerback: 40
--Safety: 30
--Athlete: 25
--Kicker: (no points awarded for rank lower than 5th)

If the team's average stars are greater than 3, add (100 * (Avg stars -
> 3)) to N.

Posted: Thu Feb 05, 2009 11:56 am
by SMU 86
Amon Carter wrote:
max the wonder dog wrote:Stallion,

While you are on the subject, can you explain why Rivals has Rice listed higher that SMU (205 - 190 total points) when SMU has more recruits (26-23), more 4 stars (1-0), more 3 stars (7-3) and higher average stars (2.35-1.87)?


The position rankings are key in the Rival's formula. Rice got the #5 kicker so their "N" in the formula below was 18 (versus 0 for SMU since none of the SMU commits who were position ranked were ranked high enough to generate any "N" points). So basically because Rice got a "top" kicker, their rivals points were multiplied by a bigger factor.

http://footballrecruiting.rivals.com/sh ... 80&style=2

Here is the team ranking formula for those interested... (please keep in mind a statistician from UC-Berkeley developed this for us).

Please note you only take the top 20 prospects in this formula, ordered by # Stars descending.

POINTS = ((N / (N + 50)) * H) + ((50 / (N + 50)) * L)

where...

H = 250 for each 5-star commit + 140 for each 4-star + 75 for each 3-star + 20 for each 2-star + 10 for each 1-star

L = 18 for each 5-star + 12 for each 4-star + 8 for each 3-star + 3 for each 2-star + 1 for each 1-star

N = a big honkin' calculation, described below

CALCULATION OF N:
10 for each commit on the Rivals 100 (high school) ranked 1-10
9 for each commit on the Rivals 100 (high school) ranked 11-20
etc. down to...
1 for each commit on the Rivals 100 (high school) ranked 91-100

10 for each commit on the Rivals 100 (non-high school) ranked 1-10
9 for each commit on the Rivals 100 (non-high school) ranked 11-20
etc. down to...
6 for each commit on the Rivals 100 (non-high school) ranked 41-50

24 for each commit ranked #1 on his official position ranking
18 for each commit ranked #2-5 on his official position ranking
8 for each commit ranked 6-X on his official position ranking, where X is dependent on detail position, as listed below...

--Dual-threat QB: 25
--Pro-style QB: 25
--Running Back: 35
--All-Purpose Back: 15
--Fullback: 15
--Wide Receiver: 50
--Tight End: 20
--Offensive Tackle: 40
--Offensive Guard: 30
--Offensive Center: 10
--Defensive Tackle: 50
--Weakside Defensive End: 20
--Strongside Defensive End: 30
--Inside Linebacker: 35
--Outside Linebacker: 35
--Cornerback: 40
--Safety: 30
--Athlete: 25
--Kicker: (no points awarded for rank lower than 5th)

If the team's average stars are greater than 3, add (100 * (Avg stars -
> 3)) to N.


Thanks.