Pony ^ wrote:Franklin is 3-19 vs top 10 opponents.
One thing is for sure, SMU will be loose and have nothing to lose. Draw back of course is 30 degree weather. That is absolutely brutal. No question that hurts us. That and their long grass
Penn State fan who was lurking to see what you all were saying about the game so thought I'd chime in here.
First though, really excited to play you. It should be a great game and being able to host a school we haven't played in decades is awesome. State College is a giant pain in the [deleted] to get into, so sorry for anyone trying to make a trip. Almost the entire stadium seating is metal bleachers. Bring something to sit on or you will be numb from the waist down before the game ends. The food in town is also terrible and any decent restaurants will likely have no reservations available due to graduation so come with low expectations there. Also get breakfast at the waffle shop on College Ave.
Franklin's record against the top 10 is definitely subpar, no way around it but he's also been the underdog in every single matchup. One, mostly irrelevant, point. The stat uses the AP top 10 because the cfp doesn't rank teams in the earlier weeks. SMU is 12th in the AP so this game won't contribute to his Top 10 record one way or another, and therefore his failures against top 10 teams is now completely irrelevant (kidding). He also hasn't benefitted from any fraudulent top 10 matchups, not that it makes a huge difference, but it might look a little better. Brian Kelly is 4-13 vs the AP top 10 (also bad) none of the 4 teams he beat finished in the top 10. 3 finished unranked. Only 2 of his 22 top 10 opponents finished outside the top 10 in the final ap (Iowa and one of the Michigan teams, both losses).
I'd compare this game to a NY6 bowl. He's 3-2 in those games with wins over #12 Washington, #8 Utah and #15 Memphis. The losses are the 52-49 Rose Bowl game to #9 USC in 2016 and last season's Peach Bowl against #11 Ole Miss without the offensive, defensive and special teams coordinators and most of our NFL draft picks opting out. Do not recommend playing Lane Kiffin without both starting cornerbacks and your number 1 pass rusher.
There's also a weird narrative, at least within the fanbase, where going into a lot of matchups they are "big games" (not necessarily limited to top 10) then he wins it and then its not a big game in retrospect. We don't have any signature wins this year and get bashed for the schedule but were also picked as upset specials in half of our games by quite a few members of the national media (WVU, Illinois, USC, Wisconsin, Washington and Minnesota). Its a strange dichotomy to play a weak schedule and simultaneously get picked as an upset special in half your games. Overall I think this season is by far his best coaching job on the whole and this is probably his best team.
Illinois this year is a good example of big game -> not a big game. If Franklin loses it, Illinois finishes 10-2, probably in the top 10 and the playoff and then everyone gets to say Illinois is another big game he lost. same team either way, but only "big" if its an L. I'd imagine the same rules will be in play if we are lucky enough to win this game. The narrative/question going into this is can he win the big game? Narrative after will be its an SMU team that lost to BYU and Clemson. Happened before/after all 3 NY6 wins.
Anyways if you made it through all of that rambling, kudos to you. For those making the trip, safe travels and I hope you have an awesome time in Happy Valley minus the 3-4 hours immediately after kickoff. I'm sorry you won't get to see a full sized student section for the white out.