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SMULaxer wrote:

CoxMustangFan wrote:

gostangs wrote:it is almost 100 pct chance of losing to a 1 seed on any neutral court - so you want to hit them as late as possible, so that someone else knocks them out (not likely) or someone gets hurt, therefore changing your odds. I prefer the 6 route to the 5 for that reason.

Avoid number 1 seed as long as possible - and maybe in a final game you can sneak a win (see UCONN last year).

You don't take a 3 over a 4 to delay hitting a 1. Makes zero sense.

Not to mention 5/12s can be deadly!

What is the reason for that? Ive always heard that and every year I pick a 12 to upset a 5. But what is the actual reason there a typically upsets in that game

Because it's usually where a middle-of-the-pack major conference team can be paired by the Cmte with a mid-major or lower conference tourney auto-bid winner or reg season champ that gets the rare at-large invite.

Statistically & historically, it is better to be a 6 than a 5 seed. Barely, but still better...

The #5 seed is 76-44 against the #12 seed (.633)
The #6 seed is 79-41 against the #11 seed (.658)

http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/NCAA_Men ... ampionship

Bump (anyone want to change their opinion?)

We would have dropped if we lost. We didn't, so probably still around a 6.

I gave said all along we are a 6. Bank it.

7 if we lose tomorrow, 6 if we win tomorrow and lose Sunday, 5 if we win Sunday.

We will already be slotted before the end of the Sunday game. It will not make a difference whether we win or lose if we get there.

Prove it

I will detail it in my year end report.

Still prefer the 6 to the 5. Looks like we are 6

Win 2 - 5
Win 1 - 6
Lose tomorrow - 7

6

7

It can't be 8.

It's a 6