Bubble watch

DC-Pony · Post by **DC-Pony** » Fri Mar 11, 2022 11:28 pm

VA Tech crushing UNC. They’ll get another quality win and make the ACC title. Ugh. We may need to win our conference tournament now.

mustangxc · Post by **mustangxc** » Sat Mar 12, 2022 7:24 am

Back on the right side of the bubble according to Joe Lunardi. We still need to avoid bid stealers and I would feel much more comfortable with a win tonight though. I think a win over Memphis puts us in as a lock.

https://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story ... -men-field

Mustangs35SMU · Post by **Mustangs35SMU** » Sat Mar 12, 2022 11:42 am

mustangxc wrote:Back on the right side of the bubble according to Joe Lunardi. We still need to avoid bid stealers and I would feel much more comfortable with a win tonight though. I think a win over Memphis puts us in as a lock.

https://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story ... -men-field

It's an interesting match up he has us in right now. First four vs Wyoming...then first round would be against UConn of all teams.

Charleston Pony · Post by **Charleston Pony** » Sat Mar 12, 2022 12:11 pm

DC-Pony wrote:VA Tech crushing UNC. They’ll get another quality win and make the ACC title. Ugh. We may need to win our conference tournament now.

It will be criminal if Virginia Tech loses tonight but still gets an at-large bid ahead of SMU. They lost to both Memphis and Dayton and their best non-conference win was arguably vs 15-17 Maryland. Wake Forest is another ACC team in the same category as their best non-conference win might have been vs 15-16 Northwestern. Once again it would be the "blue blood" conference bias at work.

DC-Pony · Post by **DC-Pony** » Sat Mar 12, 2022 3:19 pm

aTm just beat Arkansas. Arkansas laid a total egg. Terrific. One more team for us to contend with for a bid.

geezerdonk · Post by **geezerdonk** » Sat Mar 12, 2022 5:00 pm

The NCAA is not going to invite SMU unless they have no choice. The NCAA might overlook a shameful non-conference schedule. The NCAA might overlook the fact that SMU plays in a third tier rinky dink conference with very few competitive teams. The NCAA will not overlook the fact that SMU, for all practical purposes, has no fans.

Charleston Pony · Post by **Charleston Pony** » Sat Mar 12, 2022 5:36 pm

geezerdonk wrote: The NCAA might overlook the fact that SMU plays in a third tier rinky dink conference with very few competitive teams.

That same rinky dink conference that saw it's 6th, 7th, 8th & 10th place teams all beat P5 teams this year? 8th place Cincy somehow managed to win @ Illinois, so I guess the Big 10 is even more rinky dink than the American...but that won't stop them from getting multiple teams into the NCAA. I just hope our guys get a shot at your frogs

slawton011963 · Post by **slawton011963** » Sat Mar 12, 2022 6:14 pm

Charleston Pony wrote:
geezerdonk wrote: The NCAA might overlook the fact that SMU plays in a third tier rinky dink conference with very few competitive teams.
That same rinky dink conference that saw it's 6th, 7th, 8th & 10th place teams all beat P5 teams this year? 8th place Cincy somehow managed to win @ Illinois, so I guess the Big 10 is even more rinky dink than the American...but that won't stop them from getting multiple teams into the NCAA. I just hope our guys get a shot at your frogs

...".6th, 7th, 8th"... maybe too many and too big of numbers for a TCU man to comprehend. Slow down an little and let him get his calculator out.

ponyboy · Post by **ponyboy** » Sat Mar 12, 2022 6:33 pm

We don’t stop for stupid.

Nedward · Post by **Nedward** » Sun Mar 13, 2022 12:42 am

Super latest Lunardi has us first team out. Hardly shocking. Memphis beating Houston help us in the slightest, or just grasping at straws?

Charleston Pony · Post by **Charleston Pony** » Sun Mar 13, 2022 7:54 am

Go look at the entire D-I standings and I challenge you to find 68 teams with a better resume than this SMU team's. I found 66 that could arguably be better candidates

mustangxc · Post by **mustangxc** » Sun Mar 13, 2022 8:45 am

It's not 68 teams though, it's more like 40 because of all the automatic bids. I still think we have a better resume than Rutgers, Michigan, Indiana, Wake Forest, Miami, Notre Dame, UNC, Xavier, Creighton, Wyoming, Oklahoma, BYU. We should be in.

Charleston Pony · Post by **Charleston Pony** » Sun Mar 13, 2022 10:20 am

mustangxc wrote:It's not 68 teams though, it's more like 40 because of all the automatic bids. I still think we have a better resume than Rutgers, Michigan, Indiana, Wake Forest, Miami, Notre Dame, UNC, Xavier, Creighton, Wyoming, Oklahoma, BYU. We should be in.

I went through the standings and included one bid leagues and tournament upsets (Virginia Tech) and could not find enough at large teams more deserving than this SMU team. I allowed most of the teams you mention above into the tournament and still did not find enough to knock SMU out.

indianmustang · Post by **indianmustang** » Sun Mar 13, 2022 10:38 am

chances are great for us getting screwed

ponyboy · Post by **ponyboy** » Sun Mar 13, 2022 11:29 am

After sleeping on it, I’m not feeling strongly about getting in. Do we deserve it? Absolutely. What I saw last night was a probably-legit Top 25 team in Memphis - and we are not far behind them. Both Memphis and SMU took a while to gel, but these are two good teams right now. We more than deserve to get in. But I don’t think we will.

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