Bracketology

[Harry0569]

please let it be Raleigh!!!

Seriously. I am praying for it too.

[Pony_Law]

talk about a a lack of respect, Kentucky is probably playing their worst basketball of the year and are not even ranked but they are a 7 while we are a 10.

[Harry0569]

talk about a a lack of respect, Kentucky is probably playing their worst basketball of the year and are not even ranked but they are a 7 while we are a 10.

Completely agree - they haven't beaten a quality opponent since December (L'ville). Bodes well for us if we play them. I have watched most of their games as many of my friends went to UK, and I can assure you they are NOT good. If we jump out to an early lead, they will quit.

[OhioBrownFan]

If we are ranked in the top 25, why should we be anything worse than a 6 seed?

There is no reason why Texas, K-State, Ohio State, Oklahoma State or Baylor should be seeded above us

How do you figure? Because a team is ranked lower in the AP rankings which has nothing to do with anything other than what team is hot at the moment? I can't make much of an argument for K-State or Baylor other than the committee would have a preference because they played in arguably the best conference.

SMU went 23-8. RPI #48. They have 4 RPI 1-50 wins, 0 RPI 51-100 wins. SMU also has two horrible losses in the RPI 150+ range. Those are basically impossible to recover from, teams that had no business playing with them. So very few quality wins and only one on the road, basically we beat a bunch of teams that didn't even have a prayer at the tournament. 16 of the wins came against awful teams, RPI 150+. 8 of those RPI 150+ are from the conference alone, that's not good.

Texas is 22-9, RPI #33. They have one bad loss in the RPI 100-150 range, and 7 RPI 1-50 wins, 4 more wins in the RPI 51-100 range. They have 0 RPI 150+ losses. So they have one extra loss, but have more quality wins and less bad losses. 8 wins are against awful teams of RPI 150+, considerably less wins against awful teams.

Ohio State is 23-8. RPI #22. They have 6 RPI 1-50 wins, 6 RPI 50-100 wins. So over half of their wins come against teams that in theory are/were in the hunt for the tourney. They have two bad losses in the RPI 101-150 range, but no awful losses. 5 wins against RPI 150+, way less wins against completely awful teams.

A chunk of Okie States losses came without Smart, Smart will be playing in the tourney. So they probably would have the same record if he was playing, more quality wins, less bad losses. RPI #40. 0 RPI 150+ awful losses. 5 RPI 1-50 wins. 1 loss to RPI 101-150 which is a bad loss. The rest of their losses are to tournament teams. Only 6 RPI 150+ awful wins, 2 coming from TCU who is complete dog [deleted]. They also blew out every single awful team.

Kentucky, basically same story as the others. Kentucky has a pretty decent resume and some good wins mixed in with no awful losses.

This isn't rocket science in how they figure out what teams are better on paper. Do you see why the bottom feeders of the AAC kill a team like SMU right now? That was my b*tch the whole year and why SMU needs to schedule much tougher in the OOC, not RPI top 50 teams, but they can't have all those RPI 150+ teams. There are too many RPI 150+ in the conference already whereas the other top conferences don't have those teams really.

Hopefully this helps to explain why these teams are seeded higher.

[PonyKris89]

Lunardi bracket this morning has SMU as a 9 vs Baylor in San Diego, 2nd round vs. Arizona.

http://espn.go.com/ncb/bracketology

[Harry0569]

Lunardi bracket this morning has SMU as a 9 vs Baylor in San Diego, 2nd round vs. Arizona.

http://espn.go.com/ncb/bracketology

Wow that would be fun.

[Harry0569]

American

LOCKS: Louisville, Cincinnati, Connecticut, Memphis, SMU

There is debate in some corners as to SMU's worthiness as a lock, but you won't find that here. The Mustangs have four top-30 wins, an RPI of 45 and a KenPom rating of 26. Losses to Louisville and Memphis in the final week of the regular season may have marginally damaged their seeding but didn't jeopardize their spot in the field.

Read More: http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/colleg ... z2vqu4bKOk

[Harry0569]

CBSS - Bubble Watch: SMU likely in, but needs win

The Mustangs picked up a huge win at UConn, which filled a big hole in their profile. They had not beaten a tournament quality team away from home before that. They have a terrible non-conference schedule and two bad losses already, and will enter the conference tournament on a two-game losing streak.

[LA_Mustang]

Norm just had a guy on from Lancaster who is considered one of the authorities in predicting the field. He currently has us as a 9 seed and he said if lose to Houston we will still get in but probably be a 10 or 11 seed.

www.bracketwag.com

[b_caesar]

Norm just had a guy on from Lancaster who is considered one of the authorities in predicting the field. He currently has us as a 9 seed and he said if lose to Houston we will still get in but probably be a 10 or 11 seed.

http://www.bracketwag.com

Actually prefer being a 10 or 11 (or even 12) as opposed to 8 or 9 seed. At this point, seems like that would give us a better shot at making it to the 2nd weekend.

[PonyKris89]

Jerry Palm just updated his bracket late Thursday night.

http://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/bracketology

He has SMU vs. Tennessee in an 11 vs 11 play in game. Winner plays Saint Louis in Orlando and then possible matchup vs Virginia.

Would hate play in game, but would be really cool to beat a big school and possibly another shot at Virginia.

[Harry0569]

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/colleg ... f=sihp#all

SI still has us as a 10 playing UK in STL then KU.

[ponyfan37]

CBS has us last 4 in, playing Tennessee in 11 seed play-in game. Great

[Harry0569]

CBS has us last 4 in, playing Tennessee in 11 seed play-in game. Great

CBS has been dogging us the whole year.

http://bracketmatrix.com/

Bracket Matrix has us as a 9.5

[SMU 86]

CBS has us last 4 in, playing Tennessee in 11 seed play-in game. Great

No such thing as a play in game anymore. This is now round 1.