Sportsnet So. Miss preview
Posted: Wed Oct 19, 2011 10:29 am
SMU has rebounded from a season-opening loss at eighth-ranked Texas A&M with five straight wins to take over first place in the West Division of C-USA. The Mustangs are coming off a 38-17 win over UCF. Their road trip continues next weekend at Tulsa before they return to Ford Stadium for Homecoming the following week.
Despite their 5-1 overall record, the Golden Eagles are tied for third place in the East Division behind Marshall and East Carolina, who have a combined 5-8 record but are both 2-1 in league play. Southern Miss has gotten hot with four straight wins, including a 63-35 rout of Navy on October 8. The team was idle last weekend, and head coach Larry Fedora said during his weekly press conference that the bye week gave his players a much-needed opportunity to recharge their batteries.
Southern Miss owns a 2-0 edge in the all-time series with SMU, with the most recent meeting resulting in a 28-12 victory for the Golden Eagles in November 2008.
SMU has been lighting up the scoreboard on a weekly basis. Ever since their season-opening loss at Texas A&M, the Mustangs have averaged a healthy 38 points per game. They have done so behind talented quarterback J.J. McDermott and the nation's 10th-ranked passing offense. McDermott is averaging 306.7 passing yards per tilt and has thrown 10 touchdowns with only five interceptions. Darius Johnson (623 rec. yds, four TDs) and Cole Beasley (510 rec yds, one TD) have each caught more than 40 passes already. Meanwhile, running back Zach Line has helped keep defenses off balance with a league-best 110.8 rushing yards per game (5.8 ypc) and 13 TDs. Against UCF last weekend, McDermott completed 20-of-31 passes for 358 yards with two touchdowns and one interception. He looked early and often to Beasley, who finished with 134 yards and a touchdown on 10 catches. Line did the rest of the dirty work in the trenches, rushing for 82 yards and two scores on 16 totes. All in all, it was another well-rounded offensive performance by the Mustangs, who averaged 9.4 yards per play and turned the ball over only once.
As impressive as SMU has been on offense, the defense also deserves plenty of credit for the team's 5-1 record. This unit ranks second in the conference in both points allowed (20 ppg) and total defense (323.7 ypg), and leads C-USA and ranks 15th nationally with 3.0 sacks per game. Additionally, opponents have found very few running lanes as the Mustangs boast the nation's 12th- ranked rushing defense (89.5 ypg). Junior linebacker Taylor Reed paces the squad with 47 tackles to go along with three sacks. Taylor Thompson is the team's sack leader with five, while Marquis Frazier is right on his heels with 3.5 sacks. Despite all of that pressure, the Mustangs have somehow managed only one interception on the year. Last week, the Mustangs were in bend-but- don't-break mode against UCF, as the Knights piled up 25 first downs, 459 total yards and held a 14-minute edge in time of possession. However, they made only two trips into the red zone, and their lone red-zone touchdown came in the final minutes with the game well out of reach.
SMU may have some trouble keeping this week's opponent out of the end zone, as this matchup has the potential to turn into a shootout. The Golden Eagles have averaged an impressive 48.3 ppg during their current four-game win streak, and they are coming off a 63-point effort on the road at Navy two weeks ago. With two weeks to prepare for SMU, offensive coordinator Blake Anderson could have a new wrinkle or two up his sleeve. While SMU ranks second in the conference in points allowed and total defense, Southern Miss ranks second in both scoring (38.7 ppg) and total offense (475.5 ypg). The Golden Eagles are tops in C-USA and rank 19th nationally in rushing offense, with an average of 212.9 yards per game. Kendrick Hardy (85.2 ypg) heads up a deep backfield rotation, although four different players have scored multiple rushing touchdowns. The Golden Eagles will need that depth, as Hardy missed the last game with a right arm injury and is considered doubtful for Saturday. Austin Davis can make defenses pay with his legs, and he is also a 63.6 percent passer averaging 259.7 yards per tilt through the air. Davis has thrown 13 touchdowns against only six interceptions. He threw three touchdowns against Navy two weeks ago, while Jeremy Hester rushed for 118 yards and scored one of the team's four rushing touchdowns on the day.
After jumping out to a 35-7 halftime lead against the Midshipmen, USM let off the gas pedal a bit in the second half as Navy put four touchdowns on the board. The Golden Eagles had some lapses against Navy's triple-option attack, which churned out 421 yards (6.9 ypc) and three touchdowns for the game. But with a couple of weeks to rest and re-focus, look for a better effort here against the run. Where the Golden Eagles really excel is playing downhill and making plays in the backfield, as they rank sixth in the country in tackles for loss (8.33 per game). Ronnie Thornton (6.0 TFL), Jamie Collins (9.0 TFL) and Cordarro Law (9.5 TFL) have combined to wreak havoc in the opposition's backfield. While the defense struggled in general stopping Navy's ground game, Thornton (2.5 TFL) and Collins each collected 11 tackles to share team-high honors. Still, after giving up nearly seven yards a pop against the run, there obviously is still work to be done for this unit as a whole.
Southern Miss is off to its best start since 2004, and the Golden Eagles are unbeaten in two previous matchups against SMU. However, they'll need to play a near flawless game and avoid turnovers against a Mustangs squad that is very sharp on both sides of the ball. A raucous home crowd may very well provide the needed boost for Southern Miss to come out on top in this one.
Sports Network Predicted Outcome: Southern Miss 38, SMU 35
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