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Too early to know, but it could be:

A. Bay and aTm are very good teams, and we were breaking in a new QB that is more Freshman than Senior in a new offense that is less like the spread than he thought.
B. SMU probably would have beaten TCU if not for the rain (See stats and 5 INTs)
C. Evidence is play against UTEP - at sun bowl - against a team that did pretty good against Ol Miss, Wisc and OU.


Consider SMU has the 19th hardest strength of schedule (sagarin)

68 SMU A = 70.11 2 3 72.75( 19) 0 1 | 0 3 | 67.86 74 | 70.37 66

D. CUSA is horrible which should mean more wins.

At the beginning of the season, I was hopeful of winning 2 of the non-conference since 3/4 were home games. After going 1-3, and seeing UTEP play, I was doubtful for that game.

Now, considering the above, and that SMiss and UCF are not near as good as I thought, and other CUSA teams are even worse, I am beginning to think 6-2 in conference play is again very possible, and perhaps a 7-1 . (* - last week I thought 4-4 was the best we could do)


7 games to go, 4 at home.

7-5 likely
8-4 possible

Bold we play, underlines at home


50 Central Florida(UCF) A = 73.75 3 2 65.68( 81) 0 0 | 0 1 | 71.51 64 | 74.02 51

57 Tulsa A = 72.35 5 1 60.87( 123) 0 0 | 0 0 | 73.89 50 | 71.91 60

68 SMU A = 70.11 2 3 72.75( 19) 0 1 | 0 3 | 67.86 74 | 70.37 66

92 Houston A = 64.35 2 3 62.49( 110) 0 0 | 0 0 | 64.19 90 | 64.21 92

109 Southern Miss A = 61.31 0 5 74.46( 14) 0 0 | 0 2 | 61.01 106 | 61.20 110
(SMiss has played #14 best SOS)

129 Rice A = 56.68 1 5 65.70( 80) 0 0 | 0 0 | 54.86 135 | 56.86 131

OUCH. Pac12 got better?
146 Colorado A = 54.12 1 4 64.45( 90) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.41 127 | 53.51 148

166 Memphis A = 49.59 1 4 59.31( 132) 0 0 | 0 0 | 46.95 170 | 49.90 167

167 Stephen F. Austin AA = 49.58 2 4 60.96( 120) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.25 159 | 49.27 169

194 Tulane A = 42.51 0 5 72.65( 20) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.35 162 | 40.74 200

196 Howard AA = 42.04 4 1 39.89( 233) 0 0 | 0 0 | 45.72 177 | 41.07 198

I think UCF is much better than thought. 15 point loss to Ohio St and 5 point loss to Missouri despite late lead. Big improvement from last year. After watching Tulsa give up about 575 yards to Marshall I think UCF is the favorite right now. Tulsa gets credit for winning an important road game though. I don't know if anybody has noticed but Tulsa is winning games just about exclusively with its running game. SMU's strength is Running game defense-Tulsa is very inconsistent in passing game. Southern Miss has collapsed

Stallion wrote:I think UCF is much better than thought. 15 point loss to Ohio St and 5 point loss to Missouri despite late lead. Big improvement from last year. After watching Tulsa give up about 575 yards to Marshall I think UCF is the favorite right now. Tulsa gets credit for winning an important road game though. I don't know if anybody has noticed but Tulsa is winning games just about exclusively with its running game. SMU's strength is Running game defense-Tulsa is very inconsistent in passing game. Southern Miss has collapsed

Pre-Season, I thought UCF would surprise BCS teams. I still think they are the best team in CUSA, perhaps not as strong as I initially thought, but the favorite yes. All I meant was they weren't the Top30 team I thought they were, but their record is what it is because of who they played of course.

Pre-season I thought UCF SMiss and Tulsa were the top teams. Now just UCF and Tulsa - giving us another outright W opportunity

UCF is not eligible for the conference championship.

*but UCF is appealing that decision-(it would be odd to reverse that decision in mid-season)

I would be surprise if UCF even cares they go to the champs of cupcake USA

If they do not care then why did they appeal? What do you base that statement on?

Grant Carter wrote:If they do not care then why did they appeal? What do you base that statement on?

I never said are or did or anything factual, I said be surprise implying that in my opinion they shouldn't really care, for the appeal I assume more to clear up their name for recruiting, black marks are never good

Tulane at No. 194 in Sagarin ratings outlined above. I wonder what the lowest ranking ever recorded was. Only 120 team in Division 1A. I guess SE Louisiana is lower at No. 204 after losing to previously winless UAB 52-3

Grant Carter wrote:If they do not care then why did they appeal? What do you base that statement on?

He likes being a nattering neybob of negativity and he is completing with PonySnob as the most ridiculous negative poster on the board.