Official 2014 SMU Prediction Thread

[SmooBoy]

If y'all don't subscribe to Football Outsiders, you should go do it now. Best football site on the web.

Here is what they said regarding SMU's season:

SMU: 3-9 (3-5)

1% chance to go 7-5
5% chance to go 6-6
13% chance to go 5-7
24% chance to go 4-8
28% chance to go 3-9
20% chance to go 2-10
8% chance to go 1-11
1% chance to go 0-12

So 0% chance of 8-4 or better?

[Ponyneighbor]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lSPNQ82Sq4E

[EastStang]

Is Mustacheless Phil still their DC? Even when they've sucked against other offenses, they've played us tough, like they've read our playbook. Add in no contact in preseason, and headhunter linebackers and DB's, I see us with about 4 TO's. So, my prediction is 63-14.

As for the season, I think barring significant injuries, that we can somehow sneak into a 6-6 season with wins over UNT, Tulsa, ECU, USF, Memphis, UConn.

[Big12Mustang]

Is Mustacheless Phil still their DC? Even when they've sucked against other offenses, they've played us tough, like they've read our playbook. Add in no contact in preseason, and headhunter linebackers and DB's, I see us with about 4 TO's. So, my prediction is 63-14.

As for the season, I think barring significant injuries, that we can somehow sneak into a 6-6 season with wins over UNT, Tulsa, ECU, USF, Memphis, UConn.

I think we also beat TCU, Cincy and have a shot at Houston. I only see us definitely losing to UCF this season. They will win the AAC again and probably not even lose a single game.

[Nacho]

If y'all don't subscribe to Football Outsiders, you should go do it now. Best football site on the web.

Here is what they said regarding SMU's season:

SMU: 3-9 (3-5)

1% chance to go 7-5
5% chance to go 6-6
13% chance to go 5-7
24% chance to go 4-8
28% chance to go 3-9
20% chance to go 2-10
8% chance to go 1-11
1% chance to go 0-12

this looks very accurate to me. i would definitely say 2-10 to 4-8 is right on the money.

[malonish]

My prediction:

[GiddyUp]

Baylor 49, SMU 17
Coach Mason often employs the three-man rush in third-down passing situations, ie,
let's give a Heisman-trophy candidate quarterback all night to find a receiver. Baylor will embarrass our defence with over 400 yards passing. And, on those rare occasions when we hold them on third down, we will probably be called for either roughing the passer or pass interference.

On offence, I cringe at the thought of how many illegal procedure penalties we'll take.
And don't forget some lame efforts to return kickoffs from five-yards deep in the end zone,
resulting in first-and-ten on our own eight-yard line. Or worse, if the kick returner makes it past
the 20, there will be a clipping or holding penalty that takes it back to our own five-yard line.

But I'll be watching; really hope I have it all wrong.

. Funny but probably pretty accurate. Mason's lack of blitz packages is very puzzling. Seems like he did better in 2009/2010. Kind of tells you how good Davis was anchoring the defense.

[03Mustang]

If y'all don't subscribe to Football Outsiders, you should go do it now. Best football site on the web.

Here is what they said regarding SMU's season:

SMU: 3-9 (3-5)

1% chance to go 7-5
5% chance to go 6-6
13% chance to go 5-7
24% chance to go 4-8
28% chance to go 3-9
20% chance to go 2-10
8% chance to go 1-11
1% chance to go 0-12

94% chance we have a new coach?

[JasonB]

I don't think it is a lack of blitz packages, it is a lack of effective blitzing. The blitzer isn't making the play. When I go back and watch video, we send a 4th and 5th guy a lot. They just didn't have an impact last year.

[SMU 86]

Got to watch the UCF Baylor game again to see what UCF was doing to keep Baylor off balance.

[2112]

72 -- 3 bears

[leopold]

5-7.

42-14 Bears

[SMU 86]

Baylor may not be as good as some think.

[lwjr]

Briles believes this Baylor team is faster than last years team

[mrydel]

Baylor may not be as good as some think.

Most I have seen have picked them to win the Big 12. I think that puts them ahead of us.