Nate Silver about to get Shown Up

[Stallion]

I think after TCU win earlier he had TCU with a 98% chance for playoff

and GT scores

[fifty]

I think fla st is in trouble based on recent committee voting. I feel icky that condolezza rice is deciding cfb playoff.
Comittee no likey win by 2.

[LA_Mustang]

There's no way they can leave out the undefeated defending champs.

[fifty]

They can do whatever they want. I would stiff big12.

[LA_Mustang]

Great point.

[CoxMustangFan]

Where do you guys think the b12 is going to get two schools to go to 12?

[mrydel]

29 straight wins, current Heisman holder, only undefeated. There would be rioting. Alabama, Oregon, and Fla St are in. I would give 4th spot to Ohio State. Big 12 needs a championship game.

[SMU21TCU10]

Where do you guys think the b12 is going to get two schools to go to 12?

http://www.espn929.com/johnmartin/Nashv ... 2/20457311

cincy and memphis

[SMU Section F]

Where do you guys think the b12 is going to get two schools to go to 12?

I heard Memphis and Cincinnati. (Or possibly substitute UCF for Memphis.)

[CoxMustangFan]

That story is garbage, but yes, likely the AAC. Zero chance they take Memphis State.

[SMU Section F]

That story is garbage, but yes, likely the AAC. Zero chance they take Memphis State.

Yeah, I think UCF or Cincinnati would be the most likely if it happened today. I don't agree with 0% chance for Memphis, but less likely than those two. I don't think SMU or Houston would even be considered.

[Puckhead48E]

If their desire is to increase the number of current or future felons in their conference, then Cincinnati is a lock! They already have Huggins at WVU.

[CoxMustangFan]

That story is garbage, but yes, likely the AAC. Zero chance they take Memphis State.

Yeah, I think UCF or Cincinnati would be the most likely if it happened today. I don't agree with 0% chance for Memphis, but less likely than those two. I don't think SMU or Houston would even be considered.

Any school added has to bring $25m in value. None of those listed are even close (esp. not Memphis).

[leopold]

The Big XII is going to get left out. There is no argument, based on comparative data, for including Baylor and TCU.

- Florida State is undefeated, won 27? 28? in a row and played the single most ambitious OOC schedule of possibly anybody in the country. ND, Florida, and Okie State may not have been that good this year but the fact is these are three EXTREMELY strong programs year in and year out and FSU at least TRIED to schedule somebody.
- Alabama is the SEC champ and only loss came at a decent Ole Miss team. Does anybody really think a Nick Saban coached SEC champ is going to get left out?
- Oregon just avenged it's only loss with a vengeance and beat a very good Michigan State team OOC. Stronger OOC, better conference = playoffs.
- Ohio State is CRUSHING a good Wisconsin team. I don't know what happened against Va Tech, but they have battled major injuries at key positions and, frankly, the Big 10, NOT THE SEC, is college football's money maker. Ohio State is gonna go.

Baylor and TCU have played an beaten NOBODY OOC, and that includes us. The Big XII is not deep, and UT and OU are not this year who they normally are. The Big XII has the smallest TV footprint of any conference, no Championship game, and Baylor and TCU aren't college bluebloods, as absolutely unfair as it is. Wanna end the Baylor/TCU debate? Simple. Neither goes.

[SMU Section F]

That story is garbage, but yes, likely the AAC. Zero chance they take Memphis State.

Yeah, I think UCF or Cincinnati would be the most likely if it happened today. I don't agree with 0% chance for Memphis, but less likely than those two. I don't think SMU or Houston would even be considered.

Any school added has to bring $25m in value. None of those listed are even close (esp. not Memphis).

If the Big 12 absolutely has to get two schools that bring in $25m in value each, I think they're [deleted] out of luck. No AAC school is gonna do that. The only chance the schools mentioned have is that the Big 12 allows a "discount" in their pursuit of a championship game. (I don't think that will happen.)