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by coloradoStang » Mon Mar 09, 2015 10:48 pm
SMULaxer wrote:CoxMustangFan wrote:gostangs wrote:it is almost 100 pct chance of losing to a 1 seed on any neutral court - so you want to hit them as late as possible, so that someone else knocks them out (not likely) or someone gets hurt, therefore changing your odds. I prefer the 6 route to the 5 for that reason.
Avoid number 1 seed as long as possible - and maybe in a final game you can sneak a win (see UCONN last year).
You don't take a 3 over a 4 to delay hitting a 1. Makes zero sense.
Not to mention 5/12s can be deadly!
What is the reason for that? Ive always heard that and every year I pick a 12 to upset a 5. But what is the actual reason there a typically upsets in that game
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by b_caesar » Tue Mar 10, 2015 1:07 am
Because it's usually where a middle-of-the-pack major conference team can be paired by the Cmte with a mid-major or lower conference tourney auto-bid winner or reg season champ that gets the rare at-large invite. Statistically & historically, it is better to be a 6 than a 5 seed. Barely, but still better... The #5 seed is 76–44 against the #12 seed (.633) The #6 seed is 79–41 against the #11 seed (.658) http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/NCAA_Men ... ampionship
Don't worry. Be Happy. Or not.
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by Statler » Fri Mar 13, 2015 2:02 pm
Bump (anyone want to change their opinion?)
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by skyscraper » Fri Mar 13, 2015 2:04 pm
We would have dropped if we lost. We didn't, so probably still around a 6.
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by mrydel » Fri Mar 13, 2015 2:09 pm
I gave said all along we are a 6. Bank it.
All those who believe in psycho kinesis, raise my hand
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by Grant Carter » Fri Mar 13, 2015 2:10 pm
7 if we lose tomorrow, 6 if we win tomorrow and lose Sunday, 5 if we win Sunday.
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by mrydel » Fri Mar 13, 2015 2:12 pm
We will already be slotted before the end of the Sunday game. It will not make a difference whether we win or lose if we get there.
All those who believe in psycho kinesis, raise my hand
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by mrydel » Fri Mar 13, 2015 2:19 pm
I will detail it in my year end report.
All those who believe in psycho kinesis, raise my hand
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by gostangs » Fri Mar 13, 2015 2:42 pm
Still prefer the 6 to the 5. Looks like we are 6
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by SMUstang07 » Fri Mar 13, 2015 2:50 pm
Win 2 - 5 Win 1 - 6 Lose tomorrow - 7
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by mrydel » Fri Mar 13, 2015 2:52 pm
6
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by smupony94 » Fri Mar 13, 2015 2:54 pm
7
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by TidePony » Fri Mar 13, 2015 3:15 pm
It's a 6
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