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SMU opens -11.5 against UNT

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Re: SMU opens -11.5 against UNT

Postby Pony Boss » Wed Aug 10, 2016 5:30 pm

Comet wrote:
SMUstangs22 wrote:In No Man's Sky I have found a planet where SMU beat NTSU in Denton and one where they lost. Also found one with SMU in the Big 12 and one with football in D2...

At least the game didn't crash on you

Yeah I see you posting crap down at csnbs, Comet lol
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Re: SMU opens -11.5 against UNT

Postby malonish » Thu Aug 11, 2016 4:29 pm

SMUstangs22 wrote:In No Man's Sky I have found a planet where SMU beat NTSU in Denton and one where they lost. Also found one with SMU in the Big 12 and one with football in D2...


Enjoying it or are you part of the "Meh Consensus" group?
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Re: SMU opens -11.5 against UNT

Postby PonyPride » Thu Aug 11, 2016 8:09 pm

HarvCrimYaleBlue wrote:While the history is very lopsided in our favor we have lost the last three games in Denton. We have won all games at Ford. Bennett lost up there, Jones lost up there, hopefully Morris does not.


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SMU has only played three times at UNT. Still looking for first win up there.
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Re: SMU opens -11.5 against UNT

Postby Pony Boss » Thu Aug 11, 2016 8:39 pm

PonyPride wrote:
HarvCrimYaleBlue wrote:While the history is very lopsided in our favor we have lost the last three games in Denton. We have won all games at Ford. Bennett lost up there, Jones lost up there, hopefully Morris does not.


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SMU has only played three times at UNT. Still looking for first win up there.

Right, post 1989 all 3 times.
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Re: SMU opens -11.5 against UNT

Postby Stallion » Thu Aug 11, 2016 11:39 pm

Yeah we also got beat pretty bad at Texas Stadium in 1977 24-13 when Lil'Joe Washington's brother Kenny was QB for the Mean Green under Hayden Fry Its listed as a neutral game but really wasn't because North Texas played half its home games at Texas Stadium that season while SMU was playing its last season at the Cotton Bowl. They had about 3 times more fans than SMU. That was a damn good football team Hayden put together.
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Re: SMU opens -11.5 against UNT

Postby SC Pony » Sat Aug 13, 2016 10:57 pm

SMU would be a 8.3 point favorite based on LY final Sagarin ratings, however SMU could/should be a bargain at that.

SMU returns 16 starters (including the QB). UNT returns 15 starters sans the QB and with a new coach. Bill Connelly projects that SMU's 16 returning starters are worth a whopping 5.4 PPG improvement and predicts that UNT's returning 15 starters are actually worth -.4 PPG. He bases this on SMU returning 97% of its offensive production and 65% of its defensive production while UNT returns 42% of its offensive production and 76% of its defensive production.

The line probably closes at 9.5 - 10, but it could be argued that it should be higher.
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Re: SMU opens -11.5 against UNT

Postby ClickClack » Sun Aug 14, 2016 8:53 am

Defensive Production?
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Re: SMU opens -11.5 against UNT

Postby DanFreibergerForHeisman » Sun Aug 14, 2016 9:20 am

ClickClack wrote:Defensive Production?

Does that mean our 45.67 points against per game will go down 35%?
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Re: SMU opens -11.5 against UNT

Postby SMUstangs22 » Sun Aug 14, 2016 9:35 am

malonish wrote:
SMUstangs22 wrote:In No Man's Sky I have found a planet where SMU beat NTSU in Denton and one where they lost. Also found one with SMU in the Big 12 and one with football in D2...


Enjoying it or are you part of the "Meh Consensus" group?


I really enjoy it so far. I am an astrophysics nerd so just a space game of this magnitude is just unreal. Also I appreciate it for what the programmers were able to pull off. Unreal.

I understand the "meh" group but they need to give it more than a few days. Its slow developing.
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