OFFICIAL GAME 18 THREAD: SMU vs. Cinci

[Harry0569]

Who: SMU (14-3) (4-0 in AAC) vs. Skyline Chili (13-2) (3-0 in AAC)
When: Thursday, January 12 @ 9P est / 8P cst
Where: Fifth Third Arena
TV: ESPN
RADIO: KAAM 770 AM

Per KenPom:
SMU is projected to lose 64-58 (29% Win Probability)

When SMU has the ball:
SMU Off: Scoring 114.5 pts. / 100 possessions (#33)
SKYLINE CHILI Def: Giving up 88.2 pts. / 100 possessions (#2)

Key stats:
SMU is grabbing 42.3% of all available offensive rebounds (#3) WE ARE MONSTERS; SKYLINE CHILI is allowing opponents to rebound 30% of its misses (#192); FEAST FEAST FEAST
SMU is shooting 39.5% from 3 (#28); SKYLINE CHILI is allowing opponents to shoot 30.3% from 3 (#25)
SMU is shooting 49.9% from 2 (#137); SKYLINE CHILI is allowing opponents to shoot 39.3% from 2 (#2)
SMU is shooting 67.4% from FT Line (#239); SKYLINE CHILI is “allowing” opponents to shoot 75.3% from FT Line (#338) TERRIBLE FT DEFENSE / SUPER UNLUCKY
SKYLINE CHILI blocks shots on 16% of possessions (#11)


When SKYLINE CHILI has the Ball
SKYLINE CHILI Off: Scoring 111.3 pts. / 100 possessions (#57)
SMU Def: Giving up 95.7 pts. / 100 possessions (#35)

Key Stats:
SKYLINE CHILI is shooting 34.7% from downtown (#182)
SKYLINE CHILI is shooting 55.1% from 2 (#22); SMU allows opponents to shoot 44% from 2 (#42)
SKYLINE CHILI turns it over on 15.8% of its possessions (#18)
SKYLINE CHILI is shooting 64.3% from the line (#304); Hooray worse than the Ponies! SMU is “allowing” opponents to shoot 64.3% from FT Line (#20) SUPER LUCKY / GREAT FT D

[Harry0569]

https://twitter.com/JonRothstein/status ... 7571793920

‏@JonRothstein
The under-the-radar game this week in college basketball is SMU's trip to Cincinnati on Thursday night. Two teams playing at a high level.

[SMUstangs22]

Man those stats are pretty heavily slanted one way

[Arkpony]

SMU predicted to lose. Ouch!

[SMUstangs22]

SMU predicted to lose. Ouch!

Not even 30% chance to win double ouch

[PonyPlayer4]

We have never won at their arena. Only barn in AAC we haven't won at.

[Terry Webster]

Please please please. A win at 5/3 before I take my eternal dirt nap. This is the year. I will be there being as obnoxious as heaven.

[Pony_Law]

This will be a super tough game, especially with the short bench. Also while we still have a size advantage at the guard position Cinci has less of a disadvantage on that front then most of the other teams we have played. That said, under LB, Cinci was especially tough as they are very good at clogging up the paint and LB's offense was 100% based on always having at least 1 pass inside. Jank's spread the floor offense might match up better against what Cinci likes to do defensively.

[Pony ^]

"A rock fight of epic proportions"

[Arkpony]

make the free throws and stop the stupid lazy turnovers!

[mustang1992]

make the free throws and stop the stupid lazy turnovers!

This, both things that are correctable!

[DanFreibergerForHeisman]

Can't wait!!

Probably a good week for a Thursday game since we can use the rest more than they can.

[Stallion]

The most important thing to remember about Cincy is that they shut down the passing angles. They steal or tip a phenomenal number of passes a game.

[SMU Pony Mom]

It's On!!

[soccermom]

I'd say we have a 50/50 chance.