Ramrouser wrote: Wed Aug 27, 2025 9:44 am
Hello PonyFans: TCU heads to Chapel Hill on Monday night to face the Tar Heels. You guys scored almost 70 points on them last season. Is their defense that bad or were you so good? Also, worried a bit about their QB and offense. Any insight on the Horned Frogs you could provide would be appreciated.
I'm greatly impressed by what you accomplished last year and good luck to you this season. It looks like you've found your footing in a Big 4 Conference. Daughter lives in Oak Lawn near your campus so I'm looking forward to a road game whenever it is finally scheduled.
Cheers!
TCU last season significantly underperformed the quality of their roster. Yes, record wise they finished 9-4 which looks pretty solid. But if you actually double click, their best win of the season was against an "ok" Texas Tech team.
They played a really, really soft schedule, which helped boost the record. If you look at the teams with a winning record in the Big 12 last season, from top to bottom, they didn't play Arizona State, BYU, Iowa State, Colorado, lost to Baylor, Beat Tech, didn't play K State. The majority of the schedule was against the bottom half the league, and still managed to lose against terrible UCF and Houston teams.
The longer Sonny has been there, the more his tendencies have borne out. offensively, they are reliant on the passing game and explosive plays from WR. The running game wasn't good last season, especially early. When they are effective in the passing game and can hit on explosives, they score points. But the lack of a consistent running threat hurts them, especially in the red zone. The offensive line wasn't great last season, and if you can dominate them up front you can force a lot of inconsistency. The QB is really good, though. Perfect QB for Sonny because he likes to take shots down the field. Not a runner, but does a great job evading the rush.
Defensively, they weren't very good last season. Especially bad against the run, but had a good secondary. They do a really good job of limiting explosives, but the front 6 play has really gone down under Sonny, which tends to be another trend of his teams. When you look at their performance against teams that finished over .500 in conference, we scored 66, Tech scored 34, Baylor 37. So good and decent teams scored points on them. Even Stanford put up 27.
I'm not sure how well they have reloaded in the offseason. You will find out

. But I suspect that if you bring your running game and shut down big plays in the secondary, you should walk away with a win. I picked us to lose @TCU in my season predictions, but after diving into the numbers, I think I might regret that pick.