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by **mustangfan01** » Sun Oct 15, 2006 9:05 pm

why are 6.5 point dogs @ 2-4 ECU this weekend.

Time to make some extra cash...

by **expony18** » Sun Oct 15, 2006 9:08 pm

mustangfan01 wrote:why are 6.5 point dogs @ 2-4 ECU this weekend.

Time to make some extra cash...

ive given up putting money on SMU...

by **BRStang** » Sun Oct 15, 2006 9:12 pm

expony18 wrote:
mustangfan01 wrote:why are 6.5 point dogs @ 2-4 ECU this weekend.

Time to make some extra cash...
ive given up putting money on SMU...

Good policy.

by **Stallion** » Sun Oct 15, 2006 9:15 pm

probaby because home field advantage is worth 4-5 points and SMU has victories over the 113th, 116th, 121st, and 128th rated teams and losses to the 97th and 118th rated teams in the Sagrin ratings. But that's all right because we can become bowl eligible by beating Rice(108) and UAB(110) becoming the first team to ever go bowling without a victory over a Top 100 team.

by **CalallenStang** » Sun Oct 15, 2006 9:20 pm

Stallion wrote:probaby because home field advantage is worth 4-5 points and SMU has victories over the 113th, 116th, 121st, and 128th rated teams and losses to the 97th and 118th rated teams in the Sagrin ratings. But that's all right because we can become bowl eligible by beating Rice(108) and UAB(110) becoming the first team to ever go bowling without a victory over a Top 100 team.

Sagarin ratings are a joke. In the current ratings, Youngstown State, Montana, and Massachusetts are ranked 48, 49, and 50.

by **BRStang** » Sun Oct 15, 2006 9:24 pm

Stallion wrote:probaby because home field advantage is worth 4-5 points and SMU has victories over the 113th, 116th, 121st, and 128th rated teams and losses to the 97th and 118th rated teams in the Sagrin ratings. But that's all right because we can become bowl eligible by beating Rice(108) and UAB(110) becoming the first team to ever go bowling without a victory over a Top 100 team.

Ha ha ha.

That'd be funny, but it won't happen and you know it. It'll take at least 3 (maybe 4) more wins to go bowling. Maybe ECU will be pushed over 100 after we beat them, though.

by **mustangfan01** » Sun Oct 15, 2006 9:27 pm

ECU has beaten Virginia and Memphis...both at home.

I'm sure those teams dominate the nationally acclaimed Sagarin ratings.

by **CalallenStang** » Sun Oct 15, 2006 9:27 pm

BRStang wrote:
Stallion wrote:probaby because home field advantage is worth 4-5 points and SMU has victories over the 113th, 116th, 121st, and 128th rated teams and losses to the 97th and 118th rated teams in the Sagrin ratings. But that's all right because we can become bowl eligible by beating Rice(108) and UAB(110) becoming the first team to ever go bowling without a victory over a Top 100 team.

Ha ha ha. That'd be funny, but it won't happen and you know it. It'll take at least 3 (maybe 4) more wins to go bowling. Maybe ECU will be pushed over 100 after we beat them, though.

Do you really think so? We could get to a bowl with only two more wins, though it is unlikely we would be picked if another conference team is eligible. We need to win as many games as possible and hope UAB does not get three more wins, IMO.

by **Mexmustang** » Sun Oct 15, 2006 9:30 pm

Stallion, I was just beginning to like you...that was mean!

by **BRStang** » Sun Oct 15, 2006 9:36 pm

FWIW--ECU is ranked 95 in Sagarin ratings, while SMU is 91. If Vegas has ECU favored, perhaps the Sagarin ratings are meaningless drivel, defeating the whole point of Stallion's rant.

by **gostangs** » Sun Oct 15, 2006 9:36 pm

Like anyone would know or care about who we beat to get to the bowl.

Only lonely football nerds would even track it.

This is a results based football society.

by **Stallion** » Sun Oct 15, 2006 9:44 pm

I guarantee you Vegas figures in RPI, strength of schedule, performance against quality opponents into its equation. Then they add 4-5 points to their equation for the home team and consider intangibles too-just an honest answer. Maybe a tad high but its a better explanation than just looking at won-loss records.

by **BRStang** » Sun Oct 15, 2006 9:45 pm

Stallion wrote:I guarantee you Vegas figures in RPI, strength of schedule, performance against quality opponents into its equation. Then they add 4-5 points to their equation for the home team and consider intangibles too-just an honest answer. Maybe a tad high but its a better explanation than just looking at won-loss records.

Home-field advantage is worth 3 points.

by **CalallenStang** » Sun Oct 15, 2006 9:46 pm

Stallion wrote:I guarantee you Vegas figures in RPI, strength of schedule, performance against quality opponents into its equation. Then they add 4-5 points to their equation for the home team and consider intangibles too-just an honest answer. Maybe a tad high but its a better explanation than just looking at won-loss records.

Yes. And Virginia and Memphis are quality opponents. :roll:

by **mustangfan01** » Sun Oct 15, 2006 10:17 pm

We are their 5th home game and their homecoming game. Should be a fun spoiler game.

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