I look at it this way:
A bad team would win UTEP, @Tulsa, Rice, @Baylor
An Average college football team would win @Nevada, @LT, @SJS
An good team would win Boise, Fresno, @Tech, TCU, OSU
The only question mark on the list is Boise, who lost a lot in the offseason.
What would I like to see? I would be very happy this year to see SMU go .500 in conference and win one OOC game. That would give us 5 wins. Because of our inexperience, especially at QB (remember, Bartel "tore up" some awful defensive teams last year), I expect us to finish with 4 wins. Anything less than that would be a very dissappointing season.
I would love to see the Mustangs do better, but I don't think we are up to the level of an "average" college football team yet. We just don't have that level of experience. Next year is the season I am really looking forward to...