For those of you who thought we'd go 7-5

[Blue Horseshoe]

....which game do you trade out now? I'm sure you all had us winning against ASU. Is it TCU, Houston, UCF?

[expony18]

ill stat with TCU.. but i think we can beat houston and UCF

[Stallion]

we are not going to beat UH in Houston. We are 4-26 on the road. The Sunshine Scenario would be home victories over Rice, Tulane, UTEP and UCF and then hope for a miracle road victory at Memphis. Gets you to 6-6 probably good enough for a bowl. UCF now looks pretty questionable. I can see a decent shot at the other home victories. Road games at TCU, Southern Miss, UH and Tulsa look highly unlikely. ASU was the key-just like last year we will be chasing that bad loss. Need a huge upset on the road to get it back and then win everygame we have a realistic shot at.

[expony18]

well i would pick tulsa over UH based on the fact we normally play them decent on the road (but apparently they figured out how to run their new offense, defense is questionable). I really think UCF is beatable... i realize they played texas close but so did ASU (AT TEXAS). I really think we can win every game in our conference (not that it will happen), but I think everyone is going a little crazy right now, I really have no doubt that ASU will win the sunbelt and go to a bowl game, they have a really good team this year. and i really dont care about stats that much, it's hard for anyteam to go into someone else's backyard and win, and that's what makes D1 football so great. I just hope we come out 2-2 after TCU, then we start the real season

[Blue Horseshoe]

I'm thinking the ASU game is our North Texas game from last year. I'm thinking we have to beat Houston and Memphis because I think UCF is only going to get better and more confident as the year progresses.

[expony18]

I'm thinking the ASU game is our North Texas game from last year. I'm thinking we have to beat Houston and Memphis because I think UCF is only going to get better and more confident as the year progresses.

except UNT didnt go to a bowl game last year and ASU will

[Stallion]

I watched the Troy Oklahoma St game and I believe Troy looked much stronger to me. UCF is a home game. SMU is going nowhere with 2 home losses

[expony18]

OSU is not what it once was (way to hyped in the preseason)... and i believe they have lost the last 7 of 9 road games. beating OSU at home is not the same as taking Texas to the wire on the road

[Stallion]

so you equate an Arkansas St victory at home over SMU as more impressive than Troy's easy victory over a Big 12 team at home. Do you ever consider the relative personnel of the two teams. Seriously, once you get a job after law school you need to get a Rivals subscription because that don't make much sense. OSU has some very nice athletes at every position that SMU could only dream of

[Sam I Am]

With no road wins and a home loss to anyone, we go 5-7 at the very best.

[expony18]

so you equate an Arkansas St victory at home over SMU as more impressive than Troy's easy victory over a Big 12 team at home. Do you ever consider the relative personnel of the two teams. Seriously, once you get a job after law school you need to get a Rivals subscription because that don't make much sense. OSU has some very nice athletes at every position that SMU could only dream of

no, i equate ASU's performance at Texas as more impressive then Troy's win at home over an underachieving OSU team... so the comparison would be more of: Texas has some very nice athletes at every position that OSU could only dream of.

[Cadillac]

At the end of the day, the analysis is the same: The Ponies must win all of their remaining home games and steal two on the road.

Sure, AkSt was as likely a candidate as there was. But it didn't pan out. I've maintained that they would split the Tulsa/Houston games. I'm going to have to lay my hopes on Memphis at this point.

-CoS