Will Tulsa hit 80?

sbsmith · Post by **sbsmith** » Mon Oct 06, 2008 1:13 pm

Considering how bad our defense is and how ridiculously good Tulsa's offense is, will Tulsa hit the 80 point mark against us?

mr. pony · Post by **mr. pony** » Mon Oct 06, 2008 1:31 pm

Not if I have anything to do with it. :twisted:

Gold · Post by **Gold** » Mon Oct 06, 2008 1:40 pm

I really doubt it, unless things go really crazy in the first half. I think you're giving us too much credit. We were losing to UAB by one at the half and they are a bad team (we did smoke them in the second half). I think breaking 60 is a real stretch, unless we have to, given our defense.

SMUer · Post by **SMUer** » Mon Oct 06, 2008 1:45 pm

Is Tulsa better than Texas Tech?

mrydel · Post by **mrydel** » Mon Oct 06, 2008 1:47 pm

SMUer wrote:Is Tulsa better than Texas Tech?

Do not know but they sure showed they were better than Rice.

Roach · Post by **Roach** » Mon Oct 06, 2008 1:47 pm

SMUer wrote:Is Tulsa better than Texas Tech?

No kidding.

Why would you even post this stupid poll?

The defense has a long way to go, but it's getting better, and stats aside, it's not like we're facing USC this weekend.

J.T.supporta · Post by **J.T.supporta** » Mon Oct 06, 2008 1:58 pm

i sure as hell hope not

SMUer · Post by **SMUer** » Mon Oct 06, 2008 2:23 pm

One way of reasoning:

Since Rice beat SMU by 29 pts and Tulsa beat Rice by 35, Tulsa should beat us by 63 points...Since SMU scored 27 against Rice, who only managed 28 against Tulsa (half as much as they scored on us). Tulsa's defense appears twice as good as Rice and so we should score half as much against Tulsa as we did against Rice. If SMU scores 14 and Tulsa beats us by 63 then the final score should be Tulsa 77 SMU 14 or approximately 80 pts.

Another:

Tulsa averages 56 pts/game with a standard deviation of a touchdown. Scoring 80 pts would be 24 pts above their average or about 3.5 touchdowns above their average pts. Assuming the 5 games they played in weren't heavily skewed in scoring high or low, I'd say there is a 3/10000th chance that Tulsa will score 80 on SMU on Saturday, using a normal distribution chart.

couch 'em · Post by **couch 'em** » Mon Oct 06, 2008 2:29 pm

SMUer wrote:
Tulsa averages 56 pts/game with a standard deviation of a touchdown. Scoring 80 pts would be 24 pts above their average or about 3.5 touchdowns above their average pts. Assuming the 5 games they played in weren't heavily skewed in scoring high or low, I'd say there is a 3/10000th chance that Tulsa will score 80 on SMU on Saturday, using a normal distribution chart.

Doesn't that assume we are an average team, and thus you need to look at points scored on us by opponents vs. their average points scored, and adjust it that way?

The PonyGrad · Post by **The PonyGrad** » Mon Oct 06, 2008 2:46 pm

Tulsa has played some really bad defenses (like ours) and have not put up 80. I would not be surprised with the 60s. But unless our offense turns the ball over a bunch this should not happen.

However, don't look for our punt return team to get much action.

SMUer · Post by **SMUer** » Mon Oct 06, 2008 2:49 pm

True, I guess that statistical evaluation wouldn't pass muster...

Mustangsabu · Post by **Mustangsabu** » Mon Oct 06, 2008 3:00 pm

I think this poll needs to be taken in context. The question being asked is will Tulsa hang 80 on our Ponies. My answer is I don't care, as long as we hang 81 on their Golden Tushes.

Billy Joe · Post by **Billy Joe** » Mon Oct 06, 2008 3:50 pm

If our offense has a lot of 3 and outs then Tulsa could score close to 80. The defense is on the field way too much with the run and shoot and if the run and shoot ain't scoring, or at least moving the chains some, then Tulsa will get close to that 80 mark.

mr. pony · Post by **mr. pony** » Mon Oct 06, 2008 4:07 pm

Tulsa has some cool-#ss home unis, no? The blues, I mean.

SoCal_Pony · Post by **SoCal_Pony** » Mon Oct 06, 2008 4:08 pm

The early line has Tulsa as 25 point favorites.

If you think Tulsa can hang 60 on SMU, take Tulsa and give the points.

Will Tulsa hit 80?

Will Tulsa hit the 80 point mark versus SMU?

Will Tulsa hit 80?