Sagarin Year End Ratings - Prediction

[SC Pony]

Based on the year end Sagarin Predictor ratings, here's how the numbers predict SMU's season by result and margin of victory/loss. Interesting that the only really close game is a loss. All of the wins are by over five points:

Team Location Result Margin
Tech Away L -18.1
UAB Home W 10.1
W. State Home W 19.6
TCU Home L -18.0
Rice Away W 16.5
Tulsa Home W 6.8
Navy Away L -12.4
Houston Home L -1.7
Tulane Away W 18.3
UTEP Away W 5.5
Marshall Home W 5.8
ECU Away L -8.6

[Charleston Pony]

looks about right

[Junior]

can't argue with that. i'd be happy with that.

[SmooBoy]

We have not beaten Rice in Houston since Moses was a ref.

[Junior]

We have not beaten Rice in Houston since Moses was a ref.

but padron has never lost in houston.

[mrydel]

We have not beaten Rice in Houston since Moses was a ref.

but padron has never lost in houston.

Not as a starter.

[BUS]

Rice Away W 16.5


W = WIN
YEAH the curse is broken.

[ponyboy]

rice isn't a curse; rice is a side dish.

[SC Pony]

You would think that the schedule is tougher in 2010 when you replace SFA with TTech, however we only won 1 non-conference game LY and you would expect a minimum of one non-conference win this year against Washington State with the rest of the schedule being the same (except for location).

That said, I would have a hard time predicting more than seven wins even if ES and Shawnbrey were back.

[The PonyGrad]

I had it a bit different:
http://www.ponyfans.com/phpBB3/viewtopic.php?f=1&t=46468&start=0&hilit=sagarin