Looking at schedule don't see another road game where we will be favored other than Memphis. Winning is tough enough on the road and we are at TCU, at Southern Miss, at Tulsa, at Houston, and we have to play Houston after Navy week where our defense practices for run offense then has to switch gears for Houston's offense. Ridiculous scheduling there...why Navy the week before Houston who we know we will be challenging for the conference ? Also at Southern Miss and at Tulsa back to back very tough.
Anyway, if you assume you need 7 wins for a bowl and road games tough except for Memphis that means you have to win all 6 home games. Only home game that is scary is UCF. We will have 2 weeks to prepare for UCF but if we don't win that one and run our home slate I think it is tough for us to get to 7 wins.