Tulsa Favored by 3

SMU21TCU10 · Post by **SMU21TCU10** » Tue Oct 25, 2011 1:01 pm

Tulsa will win by 17. They have played a ridiculous OOC schedule which accounts for their 3 losses. Their offense is good. Game is at Tulsa. Team will come out flat again. Tulsa will be fired up. They are on a 3 game win streak
Tulsa-34
Smu-17

SMU21TCU10 · Post by **SMU21TCU10** » Tue Oct 25, 2011 1:05 pm

Southern Miss would be 4-3 with Tulsa's schedule

ericdickerson4life · Post by **ericdickerson4life** » Tue Oct 25, 2011 1:05 pm

What would we be?

NickSMU17 · Post by **NickSMU17** » Tue Oct 25, 2011 1:07 pm

Both are WRs are playing this week geek...

SMU21TCU10 · Post by **SMU21TCU10** » Tue Oct 25, 2011 1:12 pm

NickSMU17 wrote:Both are WRs are playing this week geek...

Ah. Assumed they would be out a week

SMU21TCU10 · Post by **SMU21TCU10** » Tue Oct 25, 2011 1:15 pm

I think we lose to Tulsa and Houston and end up 8-4. Which I am happy with

StangEsq · Post by **StangEsq** » Tue Oct 25, 2011 1:17 pm

They're not USM... won't hold us under 20.

ponyboy · Post by **ponyboy** » Tue Oct 25, 2011 1:31 pm

SMU21TCU10 wrote:Tulsa will win by 17. They have played a ridiculous OOC schedule which accounts for their 3 losses. Their offense is good. Game is at Tulsa. Team will come out flat again. Tulsa will be fired up. They are on a 3 game win streak
Tulsa-34
Smu-17

What kind of stock do you put in Sagarin? They have Tulsa at 44 (and Predictor rating, which I find much more valuable as it takes into consideration margin of victory and loss, has them at 53). By comparison, we are 33 and 37.

So taking the following Sagarin instructions...

To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL 3 points for the home
team.

... and using Predictor, Tulsa 53 minus SMU 37 equals 16. Give them 3 points for being at home, and we ought to be favored by 13.

Stallion · Post by **Stallion** » Tue Oct 25, 2011 2:01 pm

I've never bought that 3 points for the Home Team-I think it should be more like 6 points for the Home team. That's why everybody [deleted] and moans when their team plays like crap on the road and like Champions at Home. It means more than 3 points.

ponyboy · Post by **ponyboy** » Tue Oct 25, 2011 2:05 pm

That makes sense. And of course it doesn't take into consideration intangibles such as rivalries and other motivations like, We are going to a BCS conference and you're being left behind.

I still think we win this game. Fool us once with USM...

The PonyGrad · Post by **The PonyGrad** » Tue Oct 25, 2011 2:07 pm

ponyboy wrote:
SMU21TCU10 wrote:Tulsa will win by 17. They have played a ridiculous OOC schedule which accounts for their 3 losses. Their offense is good. Game is at Tulsa. Team will come out flat again. Tulsa will be fired up. They are on a 3 game win streak
Tulsa-34
Smu-17

What kind of stock do you put in Sagarin? They have Tulsa at 44 (and Predictor rating, which I find much more valuable as it takes into consideration margin of victory and loss, has them at 53). By comparison, we are 33 and 37.

So taking the following Sagarin instructions...
To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL 3 points for the home
team.

... and using Predictor, Tulsa 53 minus SMU 37 equals 16. Give them 3 points for being at home, and we ought to be favored by 13.

You don't subtract the ranking to get margin of victory, rather the ratings, the points associated with the ranking.
:roll:

ponyboy · Post by **ponyboy** » Tue Oct 25, 2011 2:13 pm

My bad.

Well in that case, we're favored by .31 points. Big difference. Thank you.

whitwiki · Post by **whitwiki** » Tue Oct 25, 2011 3:34 pm

Zultan!

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