A little perspective

This is the forum for talk about SMU Football

Moderators: PonyPride, SmooPower

Post Reply
User avatar
GRGB
All-American
All-American
Posts: 841
Joined: Thu Aug 25, 2011 8:48 pm

A little perspective

Post by GRGB »

Too early to know, but it could be:

A. Bay and aTm are very good teams, and we were breaking in a new QB that is more Freshman than Senior in a new offense that is less like the spread than he thought.
B. SMU probably would have beaten TCU if not for the rain (See stats and 5 INTs)
C. Evidence is play against UTEP - at sun bowl - against a team that did pretty good against Ol Miss, Wisc and OU.


Consider SMU has the 19th hardest strength of schedule (sagarin)

68 SMU A = 70.11 2 3 72.75( 19) 0 1 | 0 3 | 67.86 74 | 70.37 66

D. CUSA is horrible which should mean more wins.

At the beginning of the season, I was hopeful of winning 2 of the non-conference since 3/4 were home games. After going 1-3, and seeing UTEP play, I was doubtful for that game.

Now, considering the above, and that SMiss and UCF are not near as good as I thought, and other CUSA teams are even worse, I am beginning to think 6-2 in conference play is again very possible, and perhaps a 7-1 . (* - last week I thought 4-4 was the best we could do)


7 games to go, 4 at home.

7-5 likely
8-4 possible

Bold we play, underlines at home


50 Central Florida(UCF) A = 73.75 3 2 65.68( 81) 0 0 | 0 1 | 71.51 64 | 74.02 51

57 Tulsa A = 72.35 5 1 60.87( 123) 0 0 | 0 0 | 73.89 50 | 71.91 60

68 SMU A = 70.11 2 3 72.75( 19) 0 1 | 0 3 | 67.86 74 | 70.37 66

92 Houston A = 64.35 2 3 62.49( 110) 0 0 | 0 0 | 64.19 90 | 64.21 92

109 Southern Miss A = 61.31 0 5 74.46( 14) 0 0 | 0 2 | 61.01 106 | 61.20 110
(SMiss has played #14 best SOS)

129 Rice A = 56.68 1 5 65.70( 80) 0 0 | 0 0 | 54.86 135 | 56.86 131

OUCH. Pac12 got better?
146 Colorado A = 54.12 1 4 64.45( 90) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.41 127 | 53.51 148

166 Memphis A = 49.59 1 4 59.31( 132) 0 0 | 0 0 | 46.95 170 | 49.90 167

167 Stephen F. Austin AA = 49.58 2 4 60.96( 120) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.25 159 | 49.27 169

194 Tulane A = 42.51 0 5 72.65( 20) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.35 162 | 40.74 200

196 Howard AA = 42.04 4 1 39.89( 233) 0 0 | 0 0 | 45.72 177 | 41.07 198
Stallion
PonyFans.com Super Legend
PonyFans.com Super Legend
Posts: 44302
Joined: Tue Dec 19, 2000 4:01 am
Location: Dallas,Texas,USA

Re: A little perspective

Post by Stallion »

I think UCF is much better than thought. 15 point loss to Ohio St and 5 point loss to Missouri despite late lead. Big improvement from last year. After watching Tulsa give up about 575 yards to Marshall I think UCF is the favorite right now. Tulsa gets credit for winning an important road game though. I don't know if anybody has noticed but Tulsa is winning games just about exclusively with its running game. SMU's strength is Running game defense-Tulsa is very inconsistent in passing game. Southern Miss has collapsed
"With a quarter of a tank of gas, we can get everything we need right here in DFW." -SMU Head Coach Chad Morris

When momentum starts rolling downhill in recruiting-WATCH OUT.
User avatar
GRGB
All-American
All-American
Posts: 841
Joined: Thu Aug 25, 2011 8:48 pm

Re: A little perspective

Post by GRGB »

Stallion wrote:I think UCF is much better than thought. 15 point loss to Ohio St and 5 point loss to Missouri despite late lead. Big improvement from last year. After watching Tulsa give up about 575 yards to Marshall I think UCF is the favorite right now. Tulsa gets credit for winning an important road game though. I don't know if anybody has noticed but Tulsa is winning games just about exclusively with its running game. SMU's strength is Running game defense-Tulsa is very inconsistent in passing game. Southern Miss has collapsed
Pre-Season, I thought UCF would surprise BCS teams. I still think they are the best team in CUSA, perhaps not as strong as I initially thought, but the favorite yes. All I meant was they weren't the Top30 team I thought they were, but their record is what it is because of who they played of course.

Pre-season I thought UCF SMiss and Tulsa were the top teams. Now just UCF and Tulsa - giving us another outright W opportunity
User avatar
SMU 86
PonyFans.com Super Legend
PonyFans.com Super Legend
Posts: 12943
Joined: Wed Jan 09, 2008 6:41 pm

Re: A little perspective

Post by SMU 86 »

UCF is not eligible for the conference championship.
"We will play man to man and we will pick you up at the airport." - Larry Brown

________________________Champion________________________
Image
Stallion
PonyFans.com Super Legend
PonyFans.com Super Legend
Posts: 44302
Joined: Tue Dec 19, 2000 4:01 am
Location: Dallas,Texas,USA

Re: A little perspective

Post by Stallion »

*but UCF is appealing that decision-(it would be odd to reverse that decision in mid-season)
"With a quarter of a tank of gas, we can get everything we need right here in DFW." -SMU Head Coach Chad Morris

When momentum starts rolling downhill in recruiting-WATCH OUT.
User avatar
SMU_Alumni11
PonyFans.com Legend
PonyFans.com Legend
Posts: 3654
Joined: Fri Oct 07, 2011 1:04 am
Location: Somewhere near Knox

Re: A little perspective

Post by SMU_Alumni11 »

I would be surprise if UCF even cares they go to the champs of cupcake USA
Grant Carter
Hall of Famer
Hall of Famer
Posts: 2791
Joined: Sat Feb 11, 2012 8:40 am

Re: A little perspective

Post by Grant Carter »

If they do not care then why did they appeal? What do you base that statement on?
User avatar
SMU_Alumni11
PonyFans.com Legend
PonyFans.com Legend
Posts: 3654
Joined: Fri Oct 07, 2011 1:04 am
Location: Somewhere near Knox

Re: A little perspective

Post by SMU_Alumni11 »

Grant Carter wrote:If they do not care then why did they appeal? What do you base that statement on?
I never said are or did or anything factual, I said be surprise implying that in my opinion they shouldn't really care, for the appeal I assume more to clear up their name for recruiting, black marks are never good
Stallion
PonyFans.com Super Legend
PonyFans.com Super Legend
Posts: 44302
Joined: Tue Dec 19, 2000 4:01 am
Location: Dallas,Texas,USA

Re: A little perspective

Post by Stallion »

Tulane at No. 194 in Sagarin ratings outlined above. I wonder what the lowest ranking ever recorded was. Only 120 team in Division 1A. I guess SE Louisiana is lower at No. 204 after losing to previously winless UAB 52-3
"With a quarter of a tank of gas, we can get everything we need right here in DFW." -SMU Head Coach Chad Morris

When momentum starts rolling downhill in recruiting-WATCH OUT.
User avatar
Treadway21
PonyFans.com Super Legend
PonyFans.com Super Legend
Posts: 6586
Joined: Thu Nov 18, 2004 2:14 pm
Location: Dallas, TX

Re: A little perspective

Post by Treadway21 »

Grant Carter wrote:If they do not care then why did they appeal? What do you base that statement on?
He likes being a nattering neybob of negativity and he is completing with PonySnob as the most ridiculous negative poster on the board.
An atheist is a guy who watches a Notre Dame-SMU football game and
doesn't care who wins.
-- Dwight D. Eisenhower
Post Reply