Based on Ed Feng's statistical analysis: "SMU at Memphis.
Memphis (93) will beat SMU (92) by 2.7 at home. SMU has a 44% chance of beating Memphis."
The Power Rank uses analytics to make predictions on sports.
These predictions are based on the team rankings, which take margin of victory in games and adjusts for strength of schedule. The algorithm behind these adjustments comes from years of research in statistical physics and applied mathematics.
http://thepowerrank.com/predictions/
If you are into statistical analysis, like I am, it's a great site.